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NATO nation sharing massive border with Russia lifts decades-long ban on nukes

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The Nordic country banned nuclear weapons under its 1987 Nuclear Energy Act.
Anthony Blair

Why Michelle Obama’s skirt moved Barack Obama to tears

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The former first lady's custom Acne Studios pencil skirt was printed with a meaningful portrait.
mliss1578

Why Michelle Obama’s skirt moved Barack Obama to tears

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The former first lady's custom Acne Studios pencil skirt was printed with a meaningful portrait.
Hilary George

Barron Trump debuts new look at Trump’s UFC event in rare public appearance

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Barron Trump debuted a noticeably shaggier look while attending the UFC event at the White House on June 14. President Donald Trump’s youngest son showed off longer, tousled hair — a stark change from the neat style he sported during his last public appearance months ago.
New York Post Video

Jason Sudeikis’ biting words to Olivia Wilde that ended ‘bumpy’ marriage

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Wilde made rare comments about her relationship with Sudeikis, which lasted nearly a decade, on "Call Her Daddy."
mliss1578

Jason Sudeikis’ biting words to Olivia Wilde that ended ‘bumpy’ marriage

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Wilde made rare comments about her relationship with Sudeikis, which lasted nearly a decade, on "Call Her Daddy."
Eric Todisco

GLP-1 users may be making a major weight-loss mistake, new study suggests

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Researchers analyzed data from 753 people with obesity who initiated a GLP-1 medication.
Fox News

Dollar General answers customer inflation woes by pricing down over 2,000 items to just $1 or less

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Customers now have a plethora of cheap gets at $1 or less including food, as Dollar General grows its frozen aisle.
Aurielle Weiss

‘The Valley’ star Michelle Saniei breaks silence on Dr. Dre romance

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The unlikely pair were spotted on a date in Los Angeles back in April.
mliss1578

‘The Valley’ star Michelle Saniei breaks silence on Dr. Dre romance

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The unlikely pair were spotted on a date in Los Angeles back in April.
Jolie Zenna

Josh Hawley demands answers from MLB over Giants Pride Night controversy

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
In a letter sent to MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred, Hawley questioned what he described as an "apparent pattern of discriminating against Christians while promoting left-wing ideologies."
Ryan Anderson

Luigi Mangione will argue insanity defense in state trial for UnitedHealthcare CEO murder

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Luigi Mangione will use a psychiatric defense at his upcoming trial in the killing of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, a Manhattan judge revealed at a bombshell court hearing Wednesday.
Kyle Schnitzer

Gavin Newsom desperately tries to flip the script on Trump with aggressive new letter: ‘Which is it?’

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Newsom accused the nation's top law enforcement official of applying double standards in their handling of investigations and public accountability.
Zain Khan

Ease In Our Time

Zero Rss
1 month 4 weeks ago
Ease In Our Time

By Micael Every, Global Strategist at Rabobank

Yesterday saw the BOJ hike rates to 1%, the highest level since 1995, and the RBA hold at 4.35%, with some chatter of the next move being down, not up, despite inflation running way above 2%. Today it’s the turn of new Fed Chair Warsh who, like the other central banks, has to deal with a geopolitical backdrop which may or may not allow for any monetary policy easing.

There, the text of the 14-point US-Iran MoU has been leaked ahead of its Swiss signing ceremony on Friday: ironically, it says “Ease in our time.” It allows Iran to immediately sell oil again, including the waiver of all banking and transport sanctions (though US legislation may prove an obstacle re: IRGC terror designation). It also includes the private sector $300bn investment fund for Iran, which Reuters claims has already been half committed.

What does this imply? It’s either a giant TACO that markets look past the full implications of to embrace; or a can-kick until the midterms (after which what?); or the Middle Eastern dish maqluba --not muqlaba (‘confrontation’)-- layers of rice, veggies, and meat prepared one way up, then flipped when served. In other words, a behind-the-scenes-and-rhetoric normalisation from Iran. Ultimately, the proof of that dish is in the eating, and there are still many points to choke on.

NBC reports Iran has continued to fire multiple drones toward ships in Hormuz since the MoU was agreed, with the US shooting them down. The US Navy underlines the Strait still holds “substantial” risk. Insurers therefore remain wary, and as noted yesterday, maritime traffic is more likely to flood out than back in ahead.

Iran is demanding an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, which Israel states it will not and just struck Hezbollah again, with Iran now threatening to respond if Israel continues. Trump yesterday suggested Syria, with a history of looking at Lebanon as its own, should take care of Hezbollah (which the Lebanese government wants to disarm, but is unable to), not Israel. Given Syrian president Al-Sharaa’s Al Qaeda background and links to Turkey, with its history of looking at Syria as part of the Ottoman Empire, this does not seem the panacea some might hope for.

The MoU text is vague on uranium: it “will be adequately addressed in a final agreement.” Again, is it maqluba (a deal, flipping the rice) or muqlaba (no deal, flipping the peace)? China is warning the next phase of US-Iran talks will be “more difficult,” which is very clear.

The US is also weighing boosting ties with the Palestinian Authority as it seeks to advance its Gaza Board of Peace and an expanded Abraham Accords, while Israeli PM Netanyahu is said to be dropping election campaign posters showing him alongside Trump, as his opponents are all as hawkish as him re: Hezbollah and Iran, if not on the Palestinian issue.

In short, there are so many layers of rice, veggies, and meat here that’s not clear if anyone can flip the dish without spilling the food: and that’s just the Middle East, which is a current pivot point within a larger global negotiation.

At the G7, Trump promised to support Ukraine and sanction Russia – if Europe helps secure Hormuz. First, with minesweepers… but then with military patrols that offer GCC states a layer of protection (alongside Ukrainian anti-drone tech) should war with Iran restart after the US mid-term elections? Bloomberg reports Europeans are wary of committing naval power quickly. So are South Korea and Japan – but they likely all have a role to play.

Last week, Trump invoked the 1950 Defence Production Act regarding munitions, citing that “conditions exist which may pose a direct threat to the national defence or its preparedness programs," due to "limited production capacity, fragile supply chains, long-lead dependencies, and related production bottlenecks." What does he need this for if we are all friends now?

Elsewhere, the US is suggesting a ‘trusted partner’ AI scheme for its allies, extending what is currently US-only technology, a significant carrot. The European Parliament cleared the way for the EU-US trade deal - and Brussels is gearing up for a trade war with Beijing. Indeed, even as European discourse focuses on the US, it’s not hard to see the contrasting contours of US-EU cooperation in the Middle East and against China. Will it be transatlantic maqluba or muqlaba?

The US is also reaching out to Kazakhstan, offering to build local telecoms infrastructure. Central Asia looks increasingly contested space between Russia, the US, and China. And can Trump rebuild bridges with Indian PM Modi at the G7?

So much is in flux beyond oil, now back below $80 in time for the mid-terms. On which note, yes, ‘markets were right’ there – but to think it was market forces that kept market pricing of oil lower than feared until now is naïve: it was aggressive economic statecraft. If we see more Middle East war ahead, much more statecraft will be required.  

On that broader flux, that the FBI just arrested five people for an alleged plot to attack Trump’s White House lawn 80th birthday UFC event with explosives-laden drones and guns speaks to the zeitgeist.

So does the Wall Street Journal reporting that ‘A $40m Gold Heist Risks Exposing CIA’s Top-Secret Spy Programs’; as the Financial Times notes central banks are repatriating gold as global insecurity rises rather than storing bullion in other countries; and the Nikkei Asia shares that central banks expect their gold reserves to continue to rise as de-dollarization continues, with 84% of related survey respondents seeing such holdings increasing in the next five years.

And against that backdrop, the FT also notes that ‘The world is more dangerous. Why is risk cheaper?’, underlining that capital is piling into insurance because of high returns and low volatility (against our current backdrop!) which leaves some worried about mispricing.

Traditionally, they don’t have to worry because central banks are there to save the day. But right now, those knights in shining armour have a lot of other things to worry about: like swords and armour. Does that still allow them to just “ease in our time”?

Tyler Durden Wed, 06/17/2026 - 10:20
Tyler Durden

Olivia Wilde describes mortifying interaction with Tom Cruise after ‘f–ked up’ custody papers attack

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The actress opened up to "Call Her Daddy" listeners about being served legal papers from Jason Sudeikis during a 2022 CinemaCon presentation.
mliss1578

Olivia Wilde describes mortifying interaction with Tom Cruise after ‘f–ked up’ custody papers attack

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The actress opened up to "Call Her Daddy" listeners about being served legal papers from Jason Sudeikis during a 2022 CinemaCon presentation.
Riley Cardoza

Bungee jumper killed by ‘pure negligence’ after being thrown with no cord

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
Videos show the terrifying moment a young student going rope swinging was thrown off a 130-foot bridge – without a rope attached. Three bungee-jumping instructors have now been charged in the death of the 21-year-old in Brazil who plummeted to her death as the safety rope could be seen lying unused on the platform. The...
New York Post Video

Dozens of otherworldly new deep-sea critters discovered — including glowing jellyfish and a ‘glass’ squid

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The ocean floor has been called Earth’s "largest and least explored habitable ecosystem."
Ben Cost

Germany records highest-ever number of antisemitic incidents in 2025

NY Post
1 month 4 weeks ago
The number of antisemitic incidents documented in Germany in 2025 rose slightly from the previous year to a record 8,725, the Berlin-based Federal Association of Departments for Research and Information on Antisemitism (RIAS) said in its annual report on Wednesday.
Jewish News Syndicate

"Late Spring Buyer Rush": US Pending Home Sales Just Surged By The Most In Almost 2 Years

Zero Rss
1 month 4 weeks ago
"Late Spring Buyer Rush": US Pending Home Sales Just Surged By The Most In Almost 2 Years

Pending home sales in the US were expected to rise for the fourth straight month in May and they did with a huge beat (+3.8% MoM vs +0.9% MoM exp - above the highest analysts estimate), which was slightly offset by a downward revision for April (from +1.4% to +0.3%).

That is the best monthly improvement in pending home sales since Sept 2024 and that lifted sales by just over 2% YoY.

“A late spring buyer rush - even with mortgage rates not budging - is an indication of pent-up housing demand and consumers’ acceptance of above-6% mortgage rates as the new normal,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a release.

The Pending Home Sales Index is now at its highest since Nov 2025, after bouncing back from record lows in January...

There has been a notable decoupling between rates and pending sales with the recent rise in rates coinciding with a rise in sales (but of course, sales are lagged relative to rates, by typically a month or more)...

Pending sales climbed in all US regions, with the Northeast leading with an 8.7% increase over the month. Yun noted the Northeast is picking up following a period of low inventory and rising home prices.

As a reminder, because houses typically go under contract a month or two before they’re sold, the pending home sales data tend to be a leading indicator of closings that are captured in the monthly previously owned home sales reports.

Tyler Durden Wed, 06/17/2026 - 10:07
Tyler Durden

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