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China's Moonshot Eyes IPO After Sparking Another "DeepSeek Moment" For US AI Stocks
Chinese startup Moonshot AI sparked another DeepSeek-like moment for US AI stocks and hyperscalers last week. David Sacks, the former White House AI and cryptocurrency czar, warned that this is "very concerning."
Moonshot AI debuted Kimi K3, which ranks number three on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, trailing only OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and Anthropic's Fable 5. This only shows the continued trend of open-weight models toward the AI frontier.
Kimi K3 has emerged as a top challenger across reasoning and coding workloads, highlighting the rapid pace of innovation and the increasing competitive pressure on models in terms of capabilities and downward trend in pricing. This only sparked weakness in sentiment toward AI US stocks and hyperscalers last week due to their massive capex binges to build out data centers.
Related:
It serves as a reminder for companies amid the 'tokenmaxxing' woes that there are lower-cost alternatives for end users besides expensive frontier Anthropic and OpenAI.
Now, Moonshot AI is leveraging last week's momentum and preparing for an initial public offering in Hong Kong within six months. Kimi K3 has strengthened investor confidence, positioning the startup to enter public markets.
Bloomberg reports that Moonshot is in the process of concluding a funding round that values the three-year-old startup at $30 billion.
Annual revenues topped $300 million in June, up from $200 million in April, supported by chatbot subscriptions and enterprise services.
The startup has held talks with CICC and Goldman Sachs about the offering and is dismantling its red-chip structure to facilitate an overseas listing.
Meanwhile...
We’ve identified industrial-scale distillation attacks on our models by DeepSeek, Moonshot AI, and MiniMax.
These labs created over 24,000 fraudulent accounts and generated over 16 million exchanges with Claude, extracting its capabilities to train and improve their own models.
Here is the latest institutional commentary on Moonshot AI:
Jefferies analyst Roger Song
Moonnshot AI triggered another Deepseek-like moment + semi/ memory lost momentum, both potentially benefiting biopharma rotation. While still waiting for FDA leadership renewal, we started to see more potential policy reversals (while maintaining good ones, nice to see CRL release back for now) along with swift industry reactions. Open clinical trial prediction betting - will that be a distraction/ noise or another actionable datapoint for real investment? We shall all see.
Wolfe Research analyst Alex Zukin
China's Moonshot Unveils Kimi K3, Autonomously Designed Functional Chip in 48 Hours - Moonshot released Kimi K3, a 2.8 trillion parameter Mixture-of-Experts model with a 1-million-token context window and native text, image, and video support, positioned as the first open 3T-class frontier model with full weights releasing July 27, 2026 and API pricing at $3/$15 per million input/output tokens. The model autonomously designed a functional 4mm² chip in a single 48-hour run with zero human intervention, handling design, optimization, verification, and simulation, achieving over 8,700 tokens/second decoding throughput, while also building a custom GPU compiler called MiniTriton from scratch that reportedly matches parts of Nvidia's official Triton compiler. Kimi K3 scored 88.3 on Terminal-Bench 2.1, trailing but competitive with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol, while lagging flagship closed models like Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 in broader evaluations, with the model available today via the Kimi app, Kimi Code, and OpenRouter
Canaccord Genuity analyst Martin Roberge
Meanwhile, sentiment toward AI stocks and hyperscalers' capex binge keeps weakening and today's release of a new AI model by Chinese company Moonshot, capable of competing with AI models from OpenAI and Anthropic, serves as a reminder that there are lower-cost alternatives for end users.
The race among AI startups to go public has China-based DeepSeek targeting a 2027 IPO, while US rival Anthropic could list as early as late 2026 and OpenAI increasingly appears headed for a 2027 debut. Both US firms have confidentially submitted IPO paperwork.
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Taiwan's President Ratchets Anti-China Rhetoric In Party Speech: Must Resist 'Red Terror' Of Beijing
President Lai Ching-te said on Sunday that Taiwan must renew efforts to protect its democracy and never become part of China. He urged members of his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to oppose the "red terror" coming from Beijing.
The ruling DPP champions Taiwan's separate identity from China, and is working to combat what Lai called China's "legal warfare".
via Bloomberg"I also expect comrades within the party to stand on the front lines, unite as one, and jointly oppose the threat posed by China's 'red terror' to Taiwanese society," Lai added, speaking in Taiwanese, rather than the main language of government, Mandarin.
"We must work together to protect our democratic and free way of life, and absolutely never allow 'democratic Taiwan' to turn back and become 'China's Taiwan'," he said.
"Regardless of ethnic group, regardless of who came earlier or later, anyone who identifies with Taiwan is a master of the country. Taiwan's future must be decided jointly by the 23 million people of Taiwan," he said.
One establishment US publication has held up a prime example of Beijing's "legal warfare" against an autonomous Taiwan in the following:
On March 12, China’s legislature adopted the Law on Promoting Ethnic Unity and Progress (Chinese; English translation), a sweeping new statute that codifies Beijing’s approach toward China’s 56 officially recognized ethnic groups. Substantively, the law enshrines a decades-long shift towards aggressive assimilationist policies. Structurally, it reflects a deepening merger of Party ideology and state law that is becoming increasingly prevalent under Xi Jinping.
This new law is the culmination of a policy trajectory that has been building for over a decade, dating back to the 2014 Central Ethnic Work Conference. Under Xi, Beijing is steering away from the post-1949 legal framework of nominal ethnic autonomy (albeit under tight Party control) imported from the Soviet Union. In its place, officials have steadily been pivoting towards what scholars have termed “second-generation ethnic policies”—an aggressive assimilationist approach that emphasizes a common Chinese national identity over accommodation of ethnic differences. Provincial and municipal authorities across China have enacted a wave of local “ethnic unity and progress” regulations in recent years, such as those in Xinjiang (2015) or Inner Mongolia (2021). The new national legislation elevates this approach to the level of a national statute governing all of China.
The new law’s core concept is captured in the term zhulao – to “forge” or “cast” metal – and its instruction that “forging the communal consciousness of the Chinese nation” is core to the Party’s ethnic policies. As James Leibold has pointed out, this phrasing reflects a hardening of Beijing’s political line under Xi Jinping – explicitly written into the Party’s Charter at the 19th Party Congress in 2017 – aimed at “melting” subnational and ethnic identities into a shared collective one.
Meanwhile, on a global stage Beijing has continued to present itself as the only peace guarantor and as a force for stability and is seeking 'Taiwan's willing participation' - at a moment the Middle East is on fire largely as a result of American policy and quickness to result to force and surprise attacks.
President Donald Trump suggests the United States might not come to Taiwan’s aid if China attacks, arguing that Taiwan “took” America’s advanced semiconductor business and should therefore pay more for its own protection. — @atrupar (July 2023)pic.twitter.com/WNMUZe6IUf
— The Intellectualist (@highbrow_nobrow) July 19, 2026And yet, President Trump has of late publicly touted his personal relationship with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "amazing". Planned weapons deal with Taiwan have been indefinitely put on hold as Washington tries to repair relations with Beijing.
Tyler Durden Sun, 07/19/2026 - 19:50