Aggregator
Playoff-bound Gotham inks Rose Lavelle contract extension using new NWSL rule
Milania Giudice’s legal team makes major move in domestic violence court case after family begs her to ‘get help’
Milania Giudice’s legal team makes major move in domestic violence court case after family begs her to ‘get help’
Aaron Judge’s fate revealed for Yankees’ wild-card roster
Ex-special counsel Jack Smith accused of ‘corrupt’ probe of Trump and Republican lawmakers
Shocking moment staffers kick terrified woman’s legs away to make her take 260-foot thrill jump
AI is coming for college admissions — are students ready?
Popular blood pressure drug recalled over dissolution issues
Lindsay Clancy prosecutors ask for gag order ‘to prevent carnival atmosphere’ after Kevin Reddington’s ‘disturbing’ comments
2026 MLB playoff predictions: Wild Card picks, best bets
Viral UFO sleuth AJ Gentile in bitter legal battle with ex-manager that could blow up Hollywood’s creator economy
Why Sylvester Stallone’s iconic ‘Rocky’ movie smooch was the ‘kiss from hell,’ according to star
Taylor Swift’s former Beverly Hills home hits the market for $8M, where star wrote ‘1989’ album
Taylor Swift’s former Beverly Hills home hits the market for $8M, where star wrote ‘1989’ album
What Derek Jeter told George Lombard Jr. as Yankees rookie prepares for playoff debut
Leaked Anthropic IPO Prospectus Shows $42BN Net Loss, $518BN In Unfunded Spending Commitments, And $20BN In Cash
When Anthropic confidentially submitted its draft S-1 to the SEC back in June, it was clear there were many shocking numbers in the IPO prospectus which the company did not want made public amid speculation of massive ongoing losses, but few were prepared for what was leaked today to Reuters.
According to a copy of the IPO prospectus leaked by Reuters, Anthropic is making a massive bet that AI will transform the global economy more profoundly than industrialization, electricity and the internet. But, as Reuters correctly puts it, "the cost to get there will be staggering" - the company reported a net loss of $42 billion in 2025. And while revenue grew 12-fold in 2025 to nearly $4.6 billion, the company lost more than $8 billion on an operating basis, with compute spend soaring to $7.33 billion, accounting for 58% of its $12.65 billion in total operating expenses.
In other words, Anthropic lost almost $2 for every dollar it made in sales, and that trend is accelerating.
It gets worse: not only is the company's revenue fleeting, it is controlled by just two customers on the margin. Anthropic said nearly a quarter of its revenue came from just two customers last year, and as part of its risk factors, warned that many of its largest clients were not locked into long-term contracts and could cut or stop spending.
But what is most concerning is the confirmation of what we said back in July: it was back then we laid out the reason behind the forceful push by the frontier models to commence regulatory capture against open-weight models, which we framed as follows:
The problem with the $2 trillion in circular AI financing is that it is all contingent on the frontiers (Anthropic/ OpenAI) being money good on their $1.5+TN in unfunded commitments. Which they won't be if Chinese open LLMs grab market share. Hence the push against Chinese LLMs.
We doubled down on the massive amount of "unfunded spending commitments" by the big two frontier models, Anthropic and OpenAI, one month later when in response to the FT catching up to our previous reporting, we said that "Again: that $3 trillion in "unfunded spending commitments" (thank you AI SPVs) will never get funded when token prices for closed models collapse to open levels"
Again: that $3 trillion in "unfunded spending commitments" (thank you AI SPVs) will never get funded when token prices for closed models collapse to open levels https://t.co/HtVgODzRUr
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) August 14, 2026In other words, $1.5 trillion each, and about a third of that through 2030, or $500 billion in spending commitments.
Well, as Reuters reports, Anthropic's massive unfunded spending obligations (for a detailed analysis of why this matters a lot, read "The Off-Balance Sheet Time Bomb Inside AI Hits $3.1 Trillion: Up $1.3TN In Three Months") are precisely what we said they are to wit: Anthropic "plans to spend $518 billion on cloud, computing and infrastructure obligations in coming year, according to the prospectus."
The problem: Anthropic already has massive amounts in (mostly) off-balance sheet debt, having stacked over $71 billion through special purpose vehicles to finance Google TPU chips. It also has a $15 billion credit facility and likely has many more unreported, off-balance sheet funding scheme that we are not aware of.
And to fund it all the frontier AI company had just $20.3 billion in cash as of Dec 31, 2025, a number which has likely declined if the company was forced recently to draw down on a secured credit facility.
Hence the urgency to raise a lot of capital as suddenly the well is looking awfully dry. The problem, of course, as we have discussed repeatedly is that Anthropic is coming to market at the worst possible time: just as token costs plunge to record lows...
Token prices new record lows pic.twitter.com/h2yG6kST4x
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 18, 2026... while demand for frontier tokens has slowed substantially for the first time ever (light blue line), with Chinese open-weight models grabbing market share thanks to their cheap, just as efficient models.
Needless to say, this could prove to be a disastrous combination for Anthropic.
Yes, there is Jevons paradox of course, but it is of little comfort to Anthropic if the only beneficiary of Jevons are Chinese models, and potentially Meta after the blistering launch of its Muse agentic platform. This is how Goldman framed the big problem for Dario Amodei (full report available to pro subs):
"Token demand growth will need to outpace declining token prices to support continued growth in investment spending. Frontier models are currently a key source of demand for hyperscaler compute. However, the rise of competitive open-source models has contributed to a decline in average token prices. Measures of frontier token demand slowed in July..."
These rapid and adverse changes in the AI landscape explain why both Anthropic and OpenAI are desperate to go public and raise much needed capital to plug at least partially the massive holes that have opened - one can only imagine the panic that will ensue among the hyperscaler ecosystem if it becomes obvious that the two primary sources of future spending commitments across the entire AI world, Anthropic and OpenAI are in fact, not money good.
And yet, realizing just how challenging raising capital would be, OpenAI has already pushed back its IPO to 2027, leaving just Anthropic with hopes of going public this year. However, Reuters reported recently that Anthropic's public market debut is likely to be pushed to after the November US midterm elections; and if the very anti-AI Democrats sweep congress, the IPO will likely be shelved indefinitely.
There's more bad news: not only is the company incinerating cash, it may suddenly find itself stuck rolling out new models, allowing Chinese open-labs to catch up. In recent days, Anthropic has confronted - and disclosed - evidence from its own research that increasingly autonomous AI models can behave in unexpected and potentially harmful ways, including sabotaging code, assisting fraud and manipulating information in controlled tests.
As a result of similar activity, OpenAI - which also confidentially filed for its own IPO in June - earlier announced it would scrap the release of its latest AI model - GPT-6.1 Astra - because, as the WSJ reported, the model "performed poorly on tests measuring alignment, or how well the model adheres to what humans would like it to do. Specifically, GPT-6.1 Astra showed higher levels of deception: It wasn’t always honest about telling users of the actions it did or didn’t take.... Another issue was what OpenAI calls “scope authorization,” meaning that GPT-6.1 Astra would push ahead on a task without asking the user for permission, and would at times reach for external tools and services even if it might be unsafe."
How can any company, and especially one which has been in the Trump admin's sights for much of the past year, possibly hope to come to market in expectations of a $2+ trillion valuation? The answer is it can't, which is why we are now getting various trial balloons setting the stage for the first of many delays.
Meanwhile, the cash burn continues and there will come a point where either existing investors will have to throw much more good money after bad, or Dario will have to ram the IPO through, and risk a spectacular crash in the stock price.
Tyler Durden Tue, 09/29/2026 - 09:25US Home Prices Are Rising At Their Fastest Pace In Over A Year, But...
Amid soaring mortgage rates, new home prices falling rapidly, and collapsing homebuilder confidence, US home prices in America's 20 largest cities rose for the fourth straight month in July (according to the latest - admittedly lagged - data from S&P Cotality Case-Shiller).
The 20-City Composite index rose 0.32% MoM (far stronger than the 0.2% MoM rise expected) in July. That is the strongest monthly rise since Dec 2025 and lifted the annual home price appreciation to its fastest pace since May 2025...
This was "a notable departure from typical seasonal patterns,' said Rebecca Kaufman, Associate Director of Commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices.
For the fifth consecutive month, Chicago led all metros with a 6.9% annual gain in July, but New York and Miami both saw large jumps. Meanwhile, Seattle posted the largest annual decline for the second consecutive month, falling 1.6%, followed by Las Vegas (-1.3%) and Denver (-1.1%)
“The years-long East-West divide persists, with six out of the eight Eastern metropolitan markets recording greater year-over-year changes in July versus June, compared with just two of the eight Western metropolitan markets," noted Kaufman.
However, given the lagged and smoothed nature of Case-Shiller's data, the party may just be about to collapse into the hangover...
And finally, while slightly lower inflation and stronger nominal home price appreciation helped narrow the gap, Kaufman notes that "home prices continued to decline in real terms in July 2026, marking the 14th consecutive month of real declines."
Tyler Durden Tue, 09/29/2026 - 09:23National Coffee Day 2026 deals and freebies: Dunkin’, Starbucks and more
Caravan Of 600+ Migrants Making Its Way Through Mexico To The US Border
Authored by Debra Heine via American Greatness,
Hundreds of migrants, largely from Honduras, are currently moving north through Mexico toward the United States, coinciding with the lead-up to the midterm elections in November. Dubbed the "Faith and Hope" (or "Fe y Esperanza") caravan, the group reportedly left Honduras with about 300 people on September 20, and entered southern Mexico on September 24 via the Rodolfo Robles bridge. The group has since swelled to more than 600 members as migrants from El Salvador, Guatemala, Ecuador, and Haiti joined the original Honduran cohort in Tapachula.
The caravan remains deep inside Mexico with a substantial distance still to travel before it reaches the U.S. border.
Immigration activists say migrants are expecting a Democrat takeover of Congress in the midterms, and a shift toward more relaxed border enforcement.
One caravan leader told a reporter in Spanish that there is a widespread belief that President Trump's anti-immigration agenda has been very unpopular in the U.S. and will result in both the Senate and the House of representatives falling to Democrats. "This will have major repercussions," he said.
The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) meanwhile responded to reports of the caravan with a football-themed X post and the phrase "Our time has come." In a subsequent post, DHS simply stated "The border is closed."
According to independent border reporter Anthony Aguero, the migrants are being funded by two Non-Governmental Organizations, Proyecto Faro and the Adventist Development and Relief Agency (ADRA).
Proyecto Faro, an "immigrant-led organizing & solidarity" nonprofit based in Rockland County, New York, is funded by a mix of foundations, nonprofits, and government grants, including the Jewish-led Harry Donenfeld Foundation and the Gitlin Family Foundation. ADRA, the humanitarian arm of the Seventh-day Adventist Church, is headquartered in Silver Spring, Maryland.
ADRA is funded mainly by the U.S. government, which has reportedly given it about $385 million over the years. According to Aguero, ADRA was named a partner in the State Department's new Faith and Community Initiative in August 2026, after being given at least $36 million taxpayer dollars by the end of 2025.
The migrants themselves say they are seeking better living conditions an opportunities in the U.S.
One of the migrants told a reporter in Spanish that no one is pushing them or paying them to come.
"We all set out with a purpose to get to the United States," he said, adding that Mexican authorities have been supporting the caravan with food and water.
Another migrant argued that God's creation is meant to be explored so "there shouldn't be a limit for any man."
Tyler Durden Tue, 09/29/2026 - 09:05