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From the hollers of Appalachia to the streets of east LA, America is full of beautiful weirdos

NY Post
1 week ago
Land of the free, home of the bizarre.
Raquel Laneri

Uncertainty over Shohei Ohtani makes Tarik Skubal a must-get for Dodgers

NY Post
1 week ago
A three-peat is at stake.
Dylan Hernandez

Starbucks horror as SoCal woman says boiling coffee spill led to surgery

NY Post
1 week ago
The SoCal woman says she has spent several weeks in the hospital undergoing and recovering from surgery for burns caused by the coffee spill.
Marina Peña

Drove of 15 pigs escape farm and wreak havoc on NJ highway

NY Post
1 week ago
A New Jersey highway turned into a pigsty this week after 15 pigs escaped from a farm nearby.
Angela Barbuti

Trump-style conservativism returns as European country’s PM makes radical political shift

NY Post
1 week ago
Prime Minister Janez Janša recently scraped together a coalition that did away with the country’s leftist leader, Robert Golob.
Fox News

Tremaine Edmunds tells The Post why putting himself in ‘uncomfortable’ Giants situation will reveal everything

NY Post
1 week ago
New Giants linebacker Tremaine Edmunds, who was added in free agency this offseason, tackles some training camp Q&A with Post columnist Steve Serby.
Steve Serby

Leopold Aschenbrenner's Short Seller Fairy Tale

Zero Rss
1 week ago
Leopold Aschenbrenner's Short Seller Fairy Tale

Submitted by QTR's Fringe Finance

Leopold Aschenbrenner’s hedge fund, stuffed like the ass of a Thanksgiving turkey with every trendy AI name you could throw a dart at, reportedly suffered one of the most spectacular drawdowns of recent memory, losing roughly 67% in July after a series of heavily leveraged bets went violently against it.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the losses became severe enough to trigger margin calls, forcing the firm into emergency asset sales. Public positions were reportedly sold to Citadel to raise liquidity, and the fund even negotiated a multibillion-dollar sale of its prized Anthropic stake before apparently changing its mind the following morning.

It is, in every sense of the word, the kind of month that reminds people leverage is not just a way to make returns bigger…it’s a way to make your mistakes arrive all at once.

What’s remarkable isn’t that the fund blew up just weeks after everyone in the media started slobbering over Aschenbrenner as if he was some visionary for figuring out the “strategy” of buying crap featured daily on CNBC using leverage. Markets have been humbling overconfident investors since the Dutch were trading tulips. What’s remarkable is that, according to reports describing the investor letter, Aschenbrenner partially blamed short sellers for accelerating the collapse, likening the experience to a bank run:

Aschenbrenner partially blamed short sellers who targeted the firm’s positions for exacerbating the fund’s losses, the letter said. The letter compared Situational’s experience to a bank run. Aschenbrenner told investors that the firm had removed all leverage from the portfolio.

And that is where this story stops being about investing and starts becoming about accountability. There is perhaps no bigger bitch move in finance than levering yourself to the eyeballs into the most crowded, most euphoric, most narratively beloved sector on Earth, riding the momentum all the way to the top tick of a genuinely pornographic stock bubble, detonating your own portfolio when the inevitable correction arrives, and then looking around the room for someone else to blame.

That’s not what investors pay hedge fund fees for. They don’t wire you billions so you can discover, after the fact, that markets occasionally go down and that other participants are allowed to disagree with your positioning.

Let’s clear something up, because this myth refuses to die every goddamn market cycle: short sellers do not possess mystical powers to force stocks lower simply because they dislike them.

A short sale is not the financial equivalent of Voldemort casting a spell over the tape. A short seller borrows shares, sells them into the market, and eventually has to buy those same shares back. That’s the entire trade. If enough genuine buyers exist who are willing to absorb that selling pressure, the stock doesn’t go down, it goes up and the short seller gets obliterated. Ask me how I know.

We’ve watched this movie countless times. Tesla. GameStop. Nvidia. Countless biotech squeezes. The market has an extensive history of taking arrogant short sellers, introducing them to the concept of unlimited losses, and escorting them directly into bankruptcy.

The reason stocks collapse isn’t because shorts are somehow overpowering reality. Stocks collapse because the marginal buyer disappears. They collapse because valuations become impossible to justify. They collapse because the people who spent months insisting they would “buy every dip” suddenly become strangely unavailable once the dips become serious.

Shorts don’t create that dynamic. They participate in it. If they could simply dictate prices through force of will, every dedicated short seller would be richer than Warren Buffett, and every bubble in history would have ended before it began. Clearly that’s not how markets work.

What’s especially rich about blaming shorts is that leverage itself creates vastly more selling pressure than shorts ever could. Once your lenders start calling, you don’t get the luxury of diamond hands or inspirational letters about long-term conviction. Your positions get sold because they have to be sold. Every forced liquidation pushes prices lower, which triggers more margin calls, which produces more forced liquidations. It’s an ugly feedback loop that has existed for as long as people have borrowed money to speculate. That’s not market manipulation. That’s mathematics meeting risk management.

Or, in this case, mathematics meeting the complete absence of adequate risk management.

This wasn’t some unforeseeable meteor strike. AI stocks had become the most crowded trade in global markets. Valuations had detached from anything remotely resembling traditional fundamentals because everyone wanted exposure to “the future.” That doesn’t necessarily mean the companies are bad businesses. It does mean that expectations become impossibly high and positioning becomes dangerously one-sided. Every competent portfolio manager understands that crowded trades can reverse with astonishing violence precisely because everyone owns the same thing at the same time, often financed with borrowed money.

That’s supposed to be the point of risk management. You’re supposed to ask yourself, “What happens if I’m wrong?” You’re supposed to ask, “What happens if liquidity disappears?” You’re supposed to ask, “What happens if this correction is twice as bad as consensus expects?”

If the honest answer is, “My prime broker starts liquidating me,” then perhaps the position size deserved another look before the market did it for you.

Perhaps the most disappointing aspect of the reported letter is the instinct to externalize responsibility. Every market participant, CEO, investor and analyst deals with short sellers. Every market participant deals with volatility. Every market participant deals with critics, momentum reversals, liquidity squeezes, and crowded positioning. Those aren’t extraordinary circumstances. They’re literally the job description.

Professional portfolio management is not about predicting a future where nobody ever sells your favorite stock. It’s about constructing a portfolio that survives the future where they do.

Blaming shorts after a catastrophic drawdown is a bit like blaming gravity after jumping off a roof. Gravity was never hiding its intentions. It has behaved exactly the same way every single day since the beginning of time. The only surprise is that someone apparently built an investment strategy around the assumption that this time it would be different.

Markets are ruthless teachers because they don’t care how compelling your narrative is, how luxurious your head of hair is, how much CNBC worships you, or how impressive your reputation has become. They don’t care whether you’ve become an AI celebrity, whether Silicon Valley hangs on your every word, or whether investors think you’ve cracked the code. They simply tally the gains and losses. When the leverage becomes excessive, the bill always arrives. Sometimes it arrives all at once.

Welcome to reality, young man.

--

QTR’s Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page here. This post represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. They are either submitted to QTR by their author, reprinted under a Creative Commons license with my best effort to uphold what the license asks, or with the permission of the author. I cannot guarantee the accuracy of all facts and figures included in this article though I made my best effort to get them right. I have been wrong before and will be wrong again, and encourage you to always double check, do your own research and speak to a licensed financial professional.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just my opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I write about and are watching. Sometimes I’m bullish without owning things, sometimes I’m bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. If I’m long I could quickly be short and vice versa. I won’t update my positions.

As of May 20, 2026 I am attempting to no longer actively trade (read my story here). My investing/saving is mostly done by recurring contributions mostly to sector ETFs and a few select equities, trusted third parties who oversee my accounts, and advisors. Such advisors or funds, through individual equities, options, index funds, mutual funds, ETFs, or other securities, may have positions in, exposure to, or holdings of names mentioned herein that I know nothing about. Basically, via index funds, ETFs and individual equities it is possible I could own, have exposure to, or not own anything at any point. As of the same date, May 20, 2026, in an attempt to lead a healthier lifestyle, I’ve also excluded myself from fantasy sports, sports betting, online and in-person casinos and prediction markets.

And all positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. If you see numbers and calculations of any sort, assume they are wrong and double check them. I failed Algebra in 8th grade and topped off my high school math accolades by getting a D- in remedial Calculus my senior year, before becoming an English major in college so I could bullshit my way through things easier.

The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I’m impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.

Tyler Durden Sat, 08/01/2026 - 11:40
Tyler Durden

Dunkin’ coffee cup hilariously on display in priceless museum exhibit: ‘Thank you for preserving local history’

NY Post
1 week ago
They’re wicked cultured. Last month in Boston, the storied Museum of Fine Arts opened a new exhibit called “Something’s Brewing.” It traces the economic and social impact of tea, coffee and chocolate in the Bay State, including the famous Boston Tea Party in 1773. The humble Dunkin’ cardboard cup is now included in a prestigious...
Faran Krentcil

Own Microsoft Office Pro 2021 for just $33 through 8/9—no cloud dependency, no monthly payments

NY Post
1 week ago
Go pro today.
StackCommerce

NYC superintendent whose company did $1.5M in DOE contracts gets slap on wrist for shady dealing

NY Post
1 week ago
A Queens superintendent who owns a company that did $1.5 million in contracts with the DOE received just a slap on the wrist after she got caught doing business in her own district.
David Spector

Over-the-top cake of Knicks’ OG Anunoby’s tip-in goes viral— and baker dishes on how he made it

NY Post
1 week ago
An over-the-top cake commemorating OG Anunoby's history-making tip-in during Game 4 of the NBA Finals went viral on Instagram this week.
Angela Barbuti

Working relationship between victim and killer in Chino Hills kidnapping-execution revealed

NY Post
1 week ago
Both the killer and his alleged victim worked for a limited liability firm called Panshi.
Ben Chapman, Ross O'Keefe

‘Baywatch’ star Brooks Nader reveals she secretly bought bikinis banned by her parents

NY Post
1 week ago
Brooks Nader, who is starring in the "Baywatch" reboot, where she sports the iconic red one-piece bathing suit, told The Post she used to sneak buying bikinis since they were banned in her household.
Angela Barbuti

Former NYC high school teacher raped student for years: investigators

NY Post
1 week ago
A former New York City schools teacher raped a student for years and sent vile text messages to her when she was between 16-17 years old, according to a damning report.
David Spector

Shocking new detail revealed in timeline of Michigan murder-suicide that left family of 8 dead

NY Post
1 week ago
New information was revealed about the mother-of-six who was killed in a murder-suicide in Michigan.
Sonya Gugliara

"I've Been Doxed": Lefty Podcaster Scott Galloway Rips Mamdani After Landing On Socialist's Rich Target List

Zero Rss
1 week ago
"I've Been Doxed": Lefty Podcaster Scott Galloway Rips Mamdani After Landing On Socialist's Rich Target List

Prominent liberal podcaster and NYU professor Scott Galloway, who can only be described as a "useful idiot" for helping legitimize far-left New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, appears to be awakening from his political delusion.

Galloway now says he has been "doxed" after realizing that the socialist movement he helped empower is publicly identifying wealthy property owners (read report), including himself, as political and financial targets.

"I've been doxed," Galloway said on the latest episode of the "Pivot" podcast. "I don't know if you've heard, but Mayor Mamdani has decided to release a list of 950,000 residences, including addresses and names, that might be eligible for his pied-à-terre tax."

"I don't love this," co-host Kara Swisher agreed. "I can't say I love this. It feels a little bit like doxing. Just tax them and get on with it, is my feeling."

Related:

  • NYC Councilwoman Sounds Alarm: Mamdani's Property Database Puts Wealthy Homeowners In Crosshairs Of "Luigi-Worshipping Leftist Thugs"

Galloway read out the definition of doxing to Swisher as "publishing private identifying information to expose someone to public pressure or harm without their consent," and pointed out that while he's not the biggest fan of the tax, he is certainly not a fan of how the far left in City Hall essentially created a "wanted poster" for property owners.

"He's taken a legitimate source of tax revenue, and he's turning it into a wanted poster," Galloway continued. "The question I would have is, other than trying to identify and imply these people have done something wrong — and then, 18 months after a healthcare CEO was executed in the street, published the list — what is the upside here? Why is he doing this?"

Spencer Pratt, who has become a leading anti-Marxist voice, commented on the Fox News article detailing Galloway's break with the far-left Mamdani. He said, "The communist refers to this person as the 'useful idiot'—the gullible squish who foolishly supports the revolution, and only begins to understand his folly as he's being lined up against the wall. If you think you're safe from the commies because you vote blue, wake up."

The communist refers to this person as the “useful idiot”. The gullible squish who foolishly supports the revolution, and only begins to understand his folly as he’s being lined up against the wall. If you think you’re safe from the commies cuz you vote blue, wake up: https://t.co/qGNbnBI9yE pic.twitter.com/8U8eY2x6fd

— Spencer Pratt (@spencerpratt) August 1, 2026

Pratt is entirely correct, because somehow Galloway missed the fact that Mamdani and the rest of the Democratic Socialists of America are not progressive at all; in fact, they're formalist socialists whose goal is not affordability, but rather "overthrowing capitalism."

Anti-communist analyst Karlyn Borysenko recently published a five-tiered "rainbow cake" view of the American left, ranging from establishment Democrats who favor incremental reform within capitalism to revolutionary socialists seeking to abolish and destroy the nation from within.

DSA is very open about their stated goals:

Returning to Galloway, he warned that Mamdani is "making it harder for all progressives." He's not wrong. The Trump administration has already built the infrastructure and task forces needed to confront the radical left, while publicly declaring that fight before delegations from 65 nations in recent weeks. At the center of that effort is an anti-communist information campaign that is already underway.

Full Conversation: 

Perhaps Democrats should never have invited socialists, Marxists and, especially, the emerging "red-green alliance" into their DEI political kingdom.

Now the DSA and its Marxist allies, whose anti-American rhetoric increasingly reflects an effort to destroy the country from within, are becoming a liability for the entire Democratic Party. Some elements of this far-left movement may also intersect with foreign influence or subversion networks.

Tyler Durden Sat, 08/01/2026 - 11:05
Tyler Durden

Sellers are using smart cameras to eavesdrop on homebuyers — but listening in comes with risks

NY Post
1 week ago
Smart home security was designed to keep burglars out, but it's increasingly being used to keep tabs on potential buyers—creating a tense new dynamic in the real estate market.
Realtor.com

American Red Cross pleads for blood donations amid shortage: ‘Crisis levels’

NY Post
1 week ago
It's only the second time in its history the American Red Cross has declared a blood supply crisis. This June, 25% of the blood supply was sapped and now the org has announced a four-year summer low.
Allie Yang

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays picks, odds: MLB predictions, best bets Friday

NY Post
1 week ago
Our picks have been as dead as LIV Golf. Looking for a fresh start in August. And there is no pitcher fresher than the Cardinals’ Quinn Mathews. He will be making his MLB debut in Toronto after going 5-3 with 111 Ks for the Memphis Redbirds. The Bluebirds counter with the veteran Kevin Gausman, who...
Stitches

BetMGM bonus code NYPMAX1550: Get up to $1,550 in bonuses for Yankees vs. Cubs

NY Post
1 week ago
MLB bettors can use the BetMGM bonus code NYPMAX1550 for up to $1,500 in bonuses and $50 in BetMGM Reward Points.
Michael Leboff

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