Aggregator
How ‘Storage Wars’ will honor Darrell Sheets after his tragic death: report
How ‘Storage Wars’ will honor Darrell Sheets after his tragic death: report
Roger Goodell revels in annual booing tradition at 2026 NFL Draft
George Pickens signs franchise tag hours before NFL draft in intriguing Cowboys trade twist
‘Undertone’ Ending Explained: What Happens to the Terrified Podcaster?
Mercuria, Goldman, JPMorgan See Major Aluminum Market Shock
Analysts at Mercuria, the Geneva-based Swiss commodities trading firm, are sounding the alarm on the global aluminum market after severe disruptions in the Gulf region, adding to a growing list of trading desks and research teams warning of a deepening supply shock.
"The scale of the supply shock we're seeing in the aluminum market is probably the largest single supply shock a base metals market has suffered in the post-2000 era," Mercuria commodities analyst Nick Snowdon told Reuters on the sidelines of the Financial Times Commodities Global Summit in Lausanne, Switzerland.
Snowdon then told Reuters, "We are already in a 'black swan' event. No one could have foreseen something on this scale."
Mercuria is a Swiss commodities trading house based in Geneva. Its traders sell, ship, store, and finance physical commodities across markets such as oil, gas, power, LNG, and metals.
Snowdon's alarm over the global aluminum market is mainly because the Gulf region accounts for 9% of world supply, and with major smelters already declaring force majeure and the Hormuz chokepoint blocked for much of this week, this is shaping up to be one of the most memorable shocks in the metal market in decades.
Aluminum prices have already surged to a four-year high, and Mercuria estimates the market could face at least a 2 million-ton deficit by the end of the year, potentially worse if the US-Iran conflict drags on and alumina flows through Hormuz chokepoint remain heavily constrained.
"That shortfall compares with about 1.5 million tons of visible inventory and just over 3 million tons of total global stock, including non-visible units, leaving the market with limited buffers," Snowdon said, adding that a larger deficit is possible.
He warned that the most exposed supply chains to the Gulf shock are in the US and Europe. He noted both regions rely heavily on Middle Eastern aluminum imports and already have low stockpiles.
Last week, JPMorgan analysts warned that the aluminum market is descending into a black hole, or a "metaphorical point of no return," where the "global aluminum market will face a serious and prolonged supply outage," even if vessel flows through the Hormuz chokepoint resume in the near term.
Separately, Goldman commodity specialist James McGeoch recently warned clients, "Hard to think of a bigger metal supply shock: High degree of expectation this was where it was heading, but the initial reaction was to fade the uncertainty yesterday. That should be replaced by fresh length if history is a guide."
From Mercuria to JPM to Goldman, traders and analysts at these mega institutions are all warning of a metal supply shock, with major risks that could curtail the production of anything from planes to tanks to cars and even power infrastructure.
Tyler Durden Thu, 04/23/2026 - 19:55As US soldier is charged for alleged Maduro bets, SEC conducts strikingly low-key probe of futures and prediction markets
Time 100 Gala 2026 red carpet: Nikki Glaser, Hilary Duff, Dakota Johnson, and more
Time 100 Gala 2026 red carpet: Hailey Bieber, Hilary Duff, Dakota Johnson, and more
From scientist to silk farmer: India's silk industry renewal
Sinister web of Mexican Mafia leader unravels after massive FBI bust — with kingpin ‘Gangster’ at the helm
Mamdani made Ken Griffin a target — and cemented NYC’s death spiral
Bill Essayli and the new ‘Untouchables’ score another bust for law and order
Yankees dominating rival Red Sox in every which way
Mike Vrabel speaks out before NFL draft after new photo bombshell with Dianna Russini
The unexpected way Nicole ‘Snooki’ Polizzi coped with cervical cancer diagnosis
The unexpected way Nicole ‘Snooki’ Polizzi coped with cervical cancer diagnosis
When Will ‘Matlock’ Season 3 Premiere on CBS? The Third Season Delay Explained
Trump Confirms Possible U.S. Takeover Of Spirit If 'Price Is Right'
-
Trump Confirms possible U.S. Gov't takeover of Spirit
-
WSJ says the Trump administration's possible $500 million rescue deal could leave the U.S. government with 90% control.
-
WSJ says Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is leading the effort in U.S.-Spirit talks.
-
BBG reported earlier on a potential $500 million rescue loan for Spirit.
-
News of a possible rescue loan for Spirit emerged last week.
Yes 36% · No 64%
View full market & trade on Polymarket //--> //--> Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Yes 51% · No 49%
View full market & trade on Polymarket //--> //--> Trump Confirms Possible Taxpayer Takeover Of Spirit
In the Oval Office early Thursday evening, President Trump was asked by a reporter about a potential taxpayer-funded takeover of Spirit Airlines.
A reporter asked Trump: "Is the government going to buy a stake in Spirit Airlines?"
Trump responded:
So, Spirit is an airline that's had some trouble. They were going to merge with People Express or one of them a number of years ago and Barack Hussein Obama decided it was a bad idea. How did that work out? It was bad for both of them. That would have been a natural merger—not United, American, but Spirit.
We're looking at helping them. We have 18,000 people that live in this country—some great people and great employees. We're thinking about doing it, helping them out—meaning bailing them out or buying them out.
We may just buy it! We'd be getting it virtually debt-free. They have some good aircraft and some good assets... and when the price of oil goes down, we could sell it for a profit. I'd love to be able to save those jobs. I want to be able to save an airline. You know, I like having a lot of airlines so it's competitive.
So we are looking at Spirit. It's in bankruptcy court. And we're looking, if we could get it for the right price, I'd do it to save the jobs. And we have somebody that wants to run it, do a good job. Smart person. And if they run it properly and if prices come down, all of a sudden it's a valuable asset. And some very good slots too which are pretty valuable.
🚨 JUST NOW: President Trump CONFIRMS the United States government is considering BAILING OUT Spirit Airlines, which is on the verge of collapse
Trump even said he already has a new CEO selected 👀
"We're looking at helping them. We have 18,000 people that live in this… pic.twitter.com/F0pukHTLY5
Shortly after, The Wall Street Journal reported on the Trump administration's potential rescue package for bankrupt Spirit Airlines. Bloomberg followed with a report stating that the emergency deal to save Spirit could give the U.S. government the option to own up to 90% of the carrier after bankruptcy.
Both reports state that the draft deal could provide up to $500 million in financing in exchange for warrants tied to a large equity stake, although talks remain ongoing and no final agreement has been reached. Bloomberg reports that
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is leading the effort to save Spirit through an emergency agreement.
WSJ Breaks Story on Trump Admin Nearing Possible Rescue Loan for SpiritThe Wall Street Journal reports that the Trump administration is nearing a rescue deal for bankrupt Spirit Airlines that could include up to a $500 million loan in exchange for warrants that would give the federal government a potentially large equity stake.
The WSJ noted that the Transportation and Commerce Departments are involved in talks to help save struggling Spirit, which faces the risk of imminent liquidation.
*TRUMP ADMIN. NEARS ~$500M RESCUE DEAL FOR SPIRIT AIRLINES: WSJ
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) April 22, 2026Last week, multiple news outlets reported that Spirit was flying on fumes as soaring jet fuel prices pushed the bankrupt airline deeper into turmoil. The carrier, in its second bankruptcy since 2024, had been set to exit bankruptcy this summer, but the jet fuel price shock clearly derailed those plans.
There was also a report late last week from aviation news website The Air Current stating that the airline had asked the Trump administration for "hundreds of millions of dollars in emergency funding" to prevent liquidation by creditors.
Then on Tuesday, President Trump told CNBC's Squawk Box that the federal government could help Spirit.
"I don't mind mergers. I think I'd love somebody to buy Spirit, as an example. You know, Spirit's in trouble. ... Maybe the federal government should help that one out," Trump said.
🚨 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST NOW: "I'd love somebody to buy Spirit, as an example. You know, Spirit's in trouble."
"And I'd love somebody to buy Spirit. It's 14,000 jobs. And maybe the federal government should help that one out!"
"You know, I tell my people. But with American, it's… pic.twitter.com/P488KMfox6
Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy met with budget carriers later on Tuesday to discuss the impact of higher jet fuel prices on their businesses.
If the federal government provides Spirit with a rescue deal in exchange for a major stake in the airline, it would add the airline to the growing list of firms in which the Trump administration has taken stakes, including Intel, MP Materials, USA Rare Earth, Trilogy Metals, and others.
Tyler Durden Thu, 04/23/2026 - 19:29