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Kelly Dodd fires back at cancel culture, says she’s treated like ‘an outcast’ in Hollywood

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
“I feel that I'm getting politically discriminated against."
Fox News

5 injured after ferocious winds rip through WVU baseball game, sending tents airborne

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
Five people were injured after powerful wind gusts sent tents flying during severe storms that swept through a West Virginia University baseball game Saturday.
FOX Weather

St. John’s season on the brink after getting shut out by Alabama, ace Tyler Fay

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
The start to St. John’s first trip to the Super Regionals in 14 years didn’t go as planned.
Zach Braziller

Bill Maher says artists quitting Freedom 250 concert makes it look like Dems ‘don’t love America’

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
"Can’t we all just celebrate America itself and leave Trump out of it?”
Adam Silverstein

Antonee Robinson shows just how vital he is for USMNT’s World Cup hopes

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
This was the sort of thunderclap that served as a perfect precursor to the U.S. men’s national team’s month in the spotlight. 
Ethan Sears

Jalen Brunson hasn’t hit his best level for Knicks in NBA Finals — yet

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
What’s scary is that there is another level the Knicks can reach. 
Jared Schwartz

Golden Knights survive with double OT win over Hurricanes after blowing four-goal lead in Game 3

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
Shea Theodore scored at 5:38 of the second overtime, avoiding what could have been a potentially devastating loss for the Golden Knights.
Associated Press

Shohei Ohtani’s 11th homer caps Dodgers’ nine-run first inning during rout of Angels

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
Batting practice on Saturday extended into the game for the Dodgers.
Dylan Hernandez

Jill Biden says former president will live with stage 4 cancer ‘for the rest of his life,’ has slowed down

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
"I never imagined it would be prostate cancer," she admitted. "I just never imagined it."
Fox News

Long Island’s Robert Moses State Park ramping up weekend police patrols after teen brawl

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
Two teens fought in boxing gloves, as the large crowd of onlookers drew a heavy police response.
Daniel Cody

Austin Warren allows costly homer in rare bullpen hiccup as Mets fall to Padres

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
Austin Warren has become indispensable to the Mets bullpen based on his versatility and success, but Saturday night brought his most glaring hiccup.
Mike Puma

Florida flight attendant fatally struck by boat while snorkeling, body found on beach by fishermen

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
An American Airlines flight attendant was fatally struck by a boat while she was snorkeling in South Florida, before her body was found washed up on a beach
Nicholas McEntyre

Jared Young quickly becoming an unexpected Mets spark with power surge

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
An unexpected source has provided the Mets with a needed offensive lift over the last two weeks.
Mike Puma

Ben Rice denies having any extra pressure to carry Yankees’ offense with Aaron Judge out

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
Ben Rice has found himself in the American League MVP conversation for much of the season.
Dan Martin

Anthony Volpe’s high school coach hasn’t given up on his former star yet after ‘steep’ Yankees challenge

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
Anthony Volpe's defense has remained questionable, but the Yankees are sticking with the former first-round pick.
Dan Martin

Maxx Crosby looking to put trade rumors behind him

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
After nearly being traded to the Ravens during the offseason, Maxx Crosby said he is looking to put all the trade rumors behind him and wants to focus on being a Raider. Shortly after an OTA session concluded, Crosby went to the podium and met with the media. “Ultimately, I am exactly where I want...
Thomas L. Murray

Pregnant Missouri woman killed in highway tragedy while awaiting baby girl

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
A pregnant Missouri woman was killed on a highway earlier this week after she was struck by a vehicle while trying to navigate the aftermath of a car accident.
Daniel Cody

Giancarlo Stanton takes live batting practice again with Yankees hoping for return ‘sooner rather than later’

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
For the second time in four days, Giancarlo Stanton was on the field at Yankee Stadium early Saturday afternoon, taking live batting practice.
Greg Joyce

An Emerging Market Crisis In Oil-Poor Asia?

Zero Rss
1 week 2 days ago
An Emerging Market Crisis In Oil-Poor Asia?

Authored by Satyajit Das via NewIndiaExpress,

Reliable availability of cheap energy is, as the Iran war highlights, essential to modern economies and societies, at least for the foreseeable future. Shocks divide the world into the oil haves and oil have-nots.

Alongside higher energy prices, shortages of petrochemical derived chemicals will affect agriculture, mining, plastics, textiles, semi-conductors and construction. Given that even if the conflict was to end with a lasting agreement it would take months or years for restoration of normality, the effects are likely to be severe.

Europe, already affected by their decision to cut-off Russian gas supplies, and Japan, are affected. But the major consequences will be felt across oil poor South and East Asia.

 

The extent of the damage depends on pre-existing vulnerabilities, including insufficient currency reserves, poor public finances, trade imbalances, high debt levels, especially foreign currency denominated borrowings, reliance on overseas capital, narrow industrial bases, and poor contingency plans.

The Table below sets out some key vital statistics

Notes: all figures are mainly for 2025

For energy importers, supply disruptions work through several pathways. Import costs rise flowing through into the economy. It most immediate manifestation is a widening current account deficit.

Given the pervasive impact of transport costs, prices increase across the board. Rising input expenses for businesses affect profitability and, ultimately, viability. As essentials cost more, the fall in surplus income decreases consumption slowing the economy with resultant unemployment. Tax revenues fall and welfare spending kick in worsening government budgets. This is frequently aggravated by vote buying subsidies, frequently for fuel costs, and transfers to alleviate cost of living pressures.

Financially, the most obvious signs are a weakening of the currency and falling asset prices. Asian currencies are down by 5 to 6% from the start of the Iran war. Asian stock markets, at least those without exposure to semi-conductor stocks like South Korea and Taiwan, have fallen. Volatility in asset markets is very high.

Source: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/global-markets-war-graphic-2026-05-27/

Typically, foreign investment inflows slow. Portfolio investors in equities and bonds exit as asset values translated into their base currency decrease. Direct investment falls reflects the poorer prospects. Banks face higher non-performing loans from the weaker economy as well as lower loan demand. Where reliant on foreign borrowings to supplement domestic deposits, the availability of funding is affected.

Inflation places pressure on interest rates which further slows the economy and exacerbates the economic and financial stresses. The current crisis is a textbook case of how oil shocks work through economies. Other factors, including the now-ignored Trump tariffs and economic warfare in the form of trade restrictions and sanctions, will exacerbate the problems. The risk of an economic and financial crisis in many of the affected countries is now elevated.

What is to be done? Like the Irish farmer’s direction to a traveller: “I wouldn’t start from here!”

The classic policy prescription is to let the currency devalue and force the necessary adjustments. An alternative is to intervene in the currency markets and simultaneously use higher short-term interest rates to support the exchange rate. The most extreme measure is for governments to restrict capital movement and, as an option, implement prices and income controls. Each has advantages and disadvantages.

Depreciation of the currency should, in theory, have the effect of reducing imports by choking off purchases assuming the application of the normal laws of supply and demand.

It should simultaneously boost exports. It forces the necessary adjustment of living standards, often brutally particularly vulnerable low-income groups.

In practice, its effectiveness depends on several factors, particularly the elasticity of demand for a country’s imports and exports. If the import is vital, like energy, and not replaceable or the cost can be passed on, foreign purchases may not decrease. Improvements in export volumes depend on the type of product and the demand sensitivity to price. It also depends on competition and substitutes. If competitors have superior products or are willing to match the prices, then volumes may not respond. This is particularly problematic when the whole emerging market complex is affected and all countries want to devalue at the same time, reducing the ability of a single country to cheapen its currency. An additional problem is the global nature of the slowdown across advanced economies, like the US and Europe, which will reduce exports demand which is central to Asian economies.

Devaluation also feeds inflation through higher import costs, unless it destroys demand which would lead to a sharp reduction in growth. A weaker currency may accelerate capital flight as investors fear losses. It creates unhelpful behaviours with importers accelerating purchases and exporters delaying conversion of foreign currency inflows. Foreign currency borrowers without any equivalent matching revenues providing a natural hedge face rising indebtedness. Emerging market businesses frequently take advantage of lower interest rates, relative to domestic funding, running the currency risk.

Intervention is money markets rarely works. It risks using up currency reserves needed to cover commercial imports or short-term debt. Historically, success requires co-operation between major central banks as in the 1985 Plaza Accord which devalued the dollar. Emerging market central banks have a poor track record. In the 1997 Asian market crisis, Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia severely depleted their foreign exchange reserves in failed attempts to defend their currencies, which was fixed against the dollar. In general, where foreign currency debts and investments exceed reserves, such interventions rarely succeed.

To stem falls in the currency, central banks in India, Indonesia and the Philippines, have repeatedly intervened in currency markets drawing down foreign exchange reserves but with limited success.

Capital controls would require managing the exchange rate and restricting foreign currency inflows and outflows. They can manage a crisis to maintain economic sovereignty over exchange rates, interest rates, inflation and the banking system. In the longer-term, capital controls will deter foreign investment because investors fear loss of the freedom of repatriating funds. It often leads to a currency black market and workarounds which underline their effectiveness.

In market-based system, it is difficult to insulate an economy from external events, especially of the magnitude of the Iran war. Poorly developed domestic capital markets, which limits local supply of capital and risk management tools, impairs the ability to absorb shocks.

Many emerging market economies are also woefully unprepared. Assuming no disruption in supply chains, they have pitifully low buffer stocks or reserves. Their economies remain narrowly structured with little diversification of their industrial base. Despite a history of energy dependence and previous disturbances, there has been limited efforts to increase energy independence by conservation measures or seeking alternative sources. Investment in renewables, such as solar, wind, hydro and biofuels, remains inadequate. Even emergency plans for rapidly scaling up alternative fossil fuels, like coal, are largely absent.  In contrast, China’s forward planning has focused on building up substantial strategic oil reserves and renewable energy supplies, which now account for up to 40% of its total electricity generation and over 50% of its total installed power capacity.

Governments have encouraged magical thinking amongst citizens, encouraging them to believe that policymakers can shield them from these events. Subsidies, transfers and price controls are electorally popular, but they do not address the core problems.

Like Aesop’s grasshopper, energy deficient countries have wasted summers of abundant supplies and now find them facing a difficult winter.

Tyler Durden Sat, 06/06/2026 - 23:20
Tyler Durden

Knicks in prime NBA Finals position thanks to their impressive bench

NY Post
1 week 2 days ago
This year, Brunson is the only starter averaging more than 34 minutes in the playoffs.
Howie Kussoy

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