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USA vs. Germany prediction, odds: Best bet for Saturday’s World Cup friendly

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
Team USA takes on Germany in one last dress rehearsal before the World Cup begins.
Mike Turay

Actor James Handy’s last movie project scrapped in wake of tragic killing

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
The comedy movie was set to follow a group of nerds learning martial arts and the relationship that forms between the students and their karate sensei.
mliss1578

Actor James Handy’s last movie project scrapped in wake of tragic killing

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
The comedy movie was set to follow a group of nerds learning martial arts and the relationship that forms between the students and their karate sensei.
Alexandra Bellusci

A no-no? A perfect game? Anything is possible for Dodgers’ Roki Sasaki

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
That was the feeling Roki Sasaki inspired every time he scaled the mound when he was at his best with the Chiba Lotte Marines of the Japanese league.
Dylan Hernandez

US again shoots down Iranian drones and missiles launched toward Strait of Hormuz, Tehran’s neighbors

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
US military intercepted a wave of Iranian missiles and drones that Tehran launched toward the Strait of Hormuz overnight, Central Command said Saturday.
Katherine Donlevy

2026 Belmont Stakes prediection, preview, picks: Which horses to use in exactas, trifectas?

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
Which horses can add some serious value to your exactas and trifectas at the Belmont Stakes?
Michael Leboff

Fanatics Sportsbook promo code NYPOST: Bet $20, get $350 in bonus bets for USA vs. Germany

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
Apply the Fanatics promo code NYPOST to receive access to the offer to bet $20 and get $350 in bonus bets for USA vs. Germany.
Mike Turay

The Democrats want another long, hot summer of violence

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
America is experiencing a wave of left-wing political violence unlike any it has seen in the last half-century. But it’s not unprecedented.
Noah Rothman

Can’t wait for the Lucas Museum to open? Visit this little-known SoCal gem – that’s free to the public

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
Showcasing “one of the largest private collections of Disney art,” along with works by Norman Rockwell and other 20th Century illustrators.
Katie Jerkovich

‘Dutton Ranch’ Star Marc Menchaca Talks About Playing A Man Of Faith In The Taylor Sheridan Universe: “He’s A True Believer”

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
Dutton Ranch star Marc Menchaca was born to play a cowboy
mliss1578

Linda Cardinelli had to audition for ‘DTF’ and ‘Mad Men’: ‘It’s very vulnerable’

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
The actress first gained fame for her role in "Freaks and Geeks."
mliss1578

Linda Cardinelli had to audition for ‘DTF’ and ‘Mad Men’: ‘It’s very vulnerable’

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
The actress first gained fame for her role in "Freaks and Geeks."
Nicki Gostin

Ukraine drone attack targets St. Petersburg again after Putin rejects Zelensky’s offer for direct talks

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
The attack is an ’embarrassing blow’ to Russian President Vladimir Putin, who rejected talks with Ukraine.
Associated Press

Goldman's World Cup Winner Prediction Is ...

Zero Rss
1 week 5 days ago
Goldman's World Cup Winner Prediction Is ...

The 2026 Football World Cup kicks off June 11, with Mexico vs. South Africa opening the tournament at Mexico City Stadium.

The tournament will feature 48 teams across 104 matches at stadiums in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico from next Thursday through July 19.

Jan Hatzius, chief economist and head of global investment research at Goldman Sachs, published a cheat sheet for clients that used a forecasting model built around Elo ratings - the ranking system originally developed for chess - to handicap the tournament. His top pick diverges from the latest Polymarket odds, with Hatzius placing Spain at the top of the list as the most likely World Cup winner.

"The model says that Spain has a 26% probability of winning the trophy, followed by France at 19%, Argentina at 14%, Brazil at 8%, and England at 5%," Hatzius said.

He noted, "Spain is predicted to win because it has the highest Elo ranking, supported by scoring talent and good momentum into the competition. Argentina is penalised by the "winner's slump", i.e. the statistical underperformance of reigning champions in the following World Cup; France suffers from likely facing top-ranked Spain in the semifinals; and England underperforms its Elo rating given historical tournament disappointment, geographical headwinds (likely facing Mexico in high-altitude Mexico City), and a slightly unlucky draw." 

Hatzius built a regression model to estimate how many goals each team is likely to score against another, using nearly 20,000 international matches since 1978. The model shows a steep decline in goal scoring, with much of it occurring after World War II.

Elo measures national team strength based on results and opponent quality, updating as teams win, lose, or draw. By this metric, Hatzius and his team place Spain No. 1, ahead of Argentina and France, which differs slightly from FIFA's official men's rankings.

Most Likely Predicted Group Stage Results

Road To Winner

Unlike our previous notes on Goldman's World Cup probabilities in 2022, 2018, and 2014, the rise of Polymarket has changed the betting game, bringing prediction markets directly into the sports-betting mainstream.

The latest Polymarket odds show France at 17%, Spain at 16%, and England at 11%...

...putting market pricing at odds with Goldman's model, which ranks Spain as the winner.

Professional subscribers can read the full World Cup note here at our new Marketdesk.ai portal. 

Tyler Durden Sat, 06/06/2026 - 09:55
Tyler Durden

Tiger Woods set to leave rehab amid girlfriend Vanessa Trump’s cancer battle: report

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
"Tiger is doing the best he can with all of the pressure on him with healing and also the legal issues he faces in coming months. This has created a great deal of stress, a source said.
mliss1578

Tiger Woods set to leave rehab amid girlfriend Vanessa Trump’s cancer battle: report

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
"Tiger is doing the best he can with all of the pressure on him with healing and also the legal issues he faces in coming months. This has created a great deal of stress," a source said.
Chris Rogers

Iconic Reflecting Pool Refilled for First Time After Renovation Work

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
Water began refilling the recently renovated Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool on June 4, President Donald Trump announced from the Oval Office. Trump also displayed video during an unrelated event showing water bubbling into the freshly painted basin at the foot of the Lincoln Memorial as the refilling process got underway. The project follows recent resurfacing...
New York Post Video

NYC prof clamors to ‘bring down US empire,’ defends IRGC during ‘Islamic Revolution Teach-in’ at DSA meeting

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
A controversial Israel-and-US-hating NYC college professor defended the murderous Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as she clamored to bring down the US empire "by any means necessary."
Gabrielle Fahmy

Robot revolt? Viral footage shows humanoid bot kicking child during sci-fi nightmare

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
During a robotics demonstration in China, a 70-pound droid wearing a clown wig executed a few martial arts moves and kicked a child in the belly, sending him to the ground and sparking debate on how safe humans really are from robots extraordinary strength.
Jeanne Erickson

We found a BJ’s membership for $15, and it pays for itself on the first grocery run

NY Post
1 week 5 days ago
Stock up smarter – wholesale prices, gas savings, and coupons that Costco won't touch
StackCommerce

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zero rss

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