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This Is The Income Needed To Be 'Happy' Around The World

In most countries, the average worker still earns less than the income researchers associate with peak reported well-being.

Research on income and well-being has identified a “satiation point,” an income level beyond which additional earnings no longer improve reported happiness. But how close does the average worker come to reaching that threshold?

An analysis from Remitly calculated the price of happiness in economies around the world and compared it with average local wages.

This graphic, via Visual Capitalist's Niccolo Conte, ranks the 50 countries where average annual income comes closest to that threshold.

The analysis is based on Purdue University‘s income satiation research and data from the International Labour Organization, adjusted for purchasing power, inflation, and currency exchange rates.

Slovenia Is the Only Country Where Wages Exceed the Threshold

Slovenia stands alone among the 50 countries analyzed. Its average wage of $42,800 is 16.3% higher than its estimated price of happiness of $36,800, meaning the typical worker earns more than the income associated with peak reported well-being.

No other country crosses that line. Luxembourg comes closest, with wages covering 92.8% of its $118,400 happiness threshold, followed by Estonia (90.5%), Singapore (90.0%), and Lithuania (89.2%).

The data table below shows the average annual wage and price of happiness in each country, along with how close wages come to reaching that threshold:

Rank Country Average Annual Wage Price of Happiness Wage as % of Price of Happiness 1 🇸🇮 Slovenia $37,000 $43,000 116.3% 2 🇱🇺 Luxembourg $110,000 $118,000 92.8% 3 🇪🇪 Estonia $38,000 $42,000 90.5% 4 🇸🇬 Singapore $49,000 $55,000 90.0% 5 🇱🇹 Lithuania $30,000 $33,000 89.2% 6 🇨🇿 Czechia $33,000 $38,000 87.8% 7 🇱🇻 Latvia $30,000 $36,000 84.7% 8 🇬🇷 Greece $28,000 $35,000 79.7% 9 🇧🇪 Belgium $88,000 $111,000 79.1% 10 🇷🇴 Romania $21,000 $27,000 76.3% 11 🇵🇱 Poland $24,000 $32,000 74.5% 12 🇩🇰 Denmark $82,000 $122,000 66.8% 13 🇲🇹 Malta $54,000 $81,000 66.2% 14 🇳🇱 Netherlands $76,000 $117,000 64.8% 15 🇳🇴 Norway $77,000 $121,000 64.2% 16 🇩🇪 Germany $67,000 $106,000 63.1% 17 🇮🇪 Ireland $67,000 $109,000 61.4% 18 🇨🇱 Chile $13,000 $22,000 60.9% 19 🇦🇹 Austria $70,000 $115,000 60.6% 20 🇫🇮 Finland $69,000 $116,000 59.2% 21 🇲🇪 Montenegro $14,000 $24,000 58.4% 22 🇫🇷 France $59,000 $104,000 57.4% 23 🇨🇭 Switzerland $87,000 $155,000 56.4% 24 🇷🇸 Serbia $15,000 $27,000 56.2% 25 🇺🇸 United States $75,000 $135,000 55.8% 26 🇨🇷 Costa Rica $16,000 $29,000 54.1% 27 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina $12,000 $23,000 53.0% 28 🇭🇺 Hungary $16,000 $30,000 52.3% 29 🇶🇦 Qatar $42,000 $82,000 51.2% 30 🇮🇹 Italy $46,000 $94,000 49.2% 31 🇸🇰 Slovakia $19,000 $39,000 48.9% 32 🇪🇸 Spain $43,000 $88,000 48.4% 33 🇰🇷 South Korea $35,000 $74,000 48.0% 34 🇸🇪 Sweden $56,000 $118,000 47.4% 35 🇨🇦 Canada $51,000 $114,000 44.4% 36 🇺🇾 Uruguay $15,000 $35,000 43.9% 37 🇲🇺 Mauritius $8,000 $19,000 43.2% 38 🇨🇾 Cyprus $37,000 $94,000 39.4% 39 🇦🇺 Australia $59,000 $161,000 36.6% 40 🇧🇷 Brazil $8,000 $21,000 36.4% 41 🇧🇴 Bolivia $6,000 $15,000 36.1% 42 🇦🇷 Argentina $7,000 $20,000 36.1% 43 🇬🇧 United Kingdom $43,000 $120,000 35.9% 44 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia $23,000 $65,000 35.5% 45 🇦🇱 Albania $10,000 $28,000 34.8% 46 🇨🇴 Colombia $6,000 $18,000 34.7% 47 🇩🇴 Dominican Republic $6,000 $18,000 34.0% 48 🇳🇿 New Zealand $47,000 $137,000 34.0% 49 🇵🇾 Paraguay $6,000 $19,000 33.7% 50 🇪🇨 Ecuador $7,000 $20,000 32.9%

Central and Eastern European countries occupy seven of the top 11 spots, including Estonia, Lithuania, Czechia, Latvia, Greece, Romania, and Poland.

Their wages are modest by global standards, but their estimated happiness thresholds are also comparatively low, keeping the gap between the two smaller. A similar pattern appears in Where Wages Go Furthest Around the World, where several of the same economies rank highly for purchasing power.

High Wages Do Not Guarantee a Smaller Gap

The United States has the third-highest average wage in the study at $75,300, but it also has one of the highest prices of happiness at $134,800. As a result, wages cover just 55.8% of the threshold.

Australia has the highest price of happiness in the ranking at $161,300, more than double its average wage of $59,000. With wages covering 36.6% of the threshold, the country ranks 39th overall.

The United Kingdom (35.9%), Canada (44.4%), and New Zealand (34.0%) show a similar pattern. Despite relatively high wages, workers in these countries remain further from the income associated with peak well-being than those in several lower-wage economies in Central and Eastern Europe.

Ecuador ranks last among the 50 countries measured, with an average wage of $6,500 covering 32.9% of its $19,700 price of happiness.

If you enjoyed today’s post, check out Money Can Buy Happiness After All on Voronoi.

Tyler Durden Thu, 08/06/2026 - 02:45

Why On Earth Are They Doing This?

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity News,

The Spanish Red Cross is treating the military-age men who swam around the border fence and stormed Ceuta like victims of an earthquake.

Volunteers in red vests are lining up on the sand at Playa del Trampolín, handing out bread, milk, biscuits, water, cans of tuna and pastries to the thousands who remain after last week's deliberate mass invasion from Morocco. Police stand by to keep the queues orderly while the same people who refused to go home sit and eat.

This is not a natural disaster. These men crossed into Spanish territory because the opportunity was created for them. There is nothing stopping Spanish authorities from sending them straight back. Instead the humanitarian apparatus has arrived with supplies.

The Red Cross is now handing out food and supplies to illegals in Ceuta as if they're victims of a natural disaster. They literally swam the coastline and invaded Spain because they felt like it and there is nothing preventing them from being sent home. pic.twitter.com/eAruK5wyiy

— m o d e r n i t y (@ModernityNews) August 4, 2026

Cadena SER and local outlets confirmed the first organised distribution of food since the crisis began. Cruz Roja and the local branch of Cooperación Sur-Sur handed out the packages to around 2,000 migrants, the majority from sub-Saharan Africa.

???? Red Cross in Ceuta handing out food and water to the migrants who just stormed Spanish territory.

Locals are furious and it's hard to blame them.

Carrots don't keep people away, sticks do...

Writer: Samuelpic.twitter.com/hanliozVRk

— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) August 4, 2026

National Police managed the lines so the recipients stayed seated until their turn, then returned to the beach to eat. One Nigerian man named Genesis told reporters he was "happy to finally have something to eat and drink." He said he had been trying to cross for months and now hopes for asylum.

African Migrants in Ceuta Complain About Treatment: 'No Food, No Blankets' pic.twitter.com/RmWGWe2oVA

— New York Post (@nypost) August 3, 2026

A Sudanese man named Malik Alher said he had gone five days without food, then added that he wants to "learn Spanish, live in Madrid and work in a supermarket."

The volunteers doing the handing-out look exactly like the usual crowd: white European leftist women. Locals watching the scene are furious, and for good reason. Feeding the people who just overran your city does not encourage them to leave.

This comes after Spanish officials spent days insisting the problem had solved itself. Foreign Minister José Manuel Albares claimed the "practical totality" of those who entered had returned to Morocco.

The Spanish Embassy in London repeated the line. Reality on the ground never matched the press releases. Streets remained full, facilities were stormed, and thousands simply stayed put on the beaches and around the CETI reception centre.

Local estimates of those left behind ranged from 2,000 to 15,000. But it's anyone's guess. Many of the remaining group are now openly declaring they will not go back. They are waiting for the next step toward the Spanish mainland and the wider European welfare systems.

?? A Spanish soldier in Ceuta said they are now ordered only to direct illegal migrants toward the border so they leave the country on their own.

"Right now we are not allowed to do anything else," the soldier has said.

For him, it is a personal sorrow what Sánchez's... https://t.co/nwDPZjRFyB pic.twitter.com/U19WqDSij5

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) August 4, 2026

Muslim Invaders Chanting "Allahu Akbar" Have OVERTAKEN The Streets of Ceuta.

Police are completely overwhelmed.

The government wants you to think this isn't happening.

We are witnessing the total collapse of a nation. https://t.co/9VhvDWSP3A

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) August 3, 2026

The situation in Ceuta:

Thousands of invaders still remain. They've taken to forested areas around the city to avoid being captured.

Their goal now is to get on boats to the Spanish mainland. Social media is also full of calls by illegals to stage another mass invasion on the... pic.twitter.com/Q8JBQPwN36

— ???? ???? ?? ?? (@NiohBerg) August 4, 2026

Auf der marokkanischen Seite an der Grenze zu Ceuta warten Schwarzafrikaner auf ihre Weiterreise in die EU. Sie werden von den Behörden zurückgehalten, damit zuerst die Marokkaner nach Spanien eindringen können.

Sie nennen es "Zwischenhaltungs-Internatzentrum".

Das Video ist... pic.twitter.com/U8idHK1VAo

— ???? (@queru_lant) August 1, 2026

Some, have already been sent to mainland Spain.

?? Dozens of migrants were allegedly transferred from Ceuta to Andalusia, mainland Spain today.

Follow: @europa pic.twitter.com/BU0F9vJm21

— Europa.com (@europa) August 4, 2026

Vox leader Santiago Abascal has called the episode an "invasion and an act of war promoted by Morocco and allowed by Sánchez." He demanded the prime minister face legal proceedings.

Muslim Invaders in Ceuta are now BURNING the Countryside as they Continue TAKE OVER the Streets.

This is total chaos and collapse of a country.

It looks like a literal zombie apocalypse. pic.twitter.com/6GqklXUK4n

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) August 3, 2026

The People's Party has accused Sánchez of being on holiday while sovereignty was tested. Ceuta's own president Juan Jesús Vivas described the situation as "absolutely unsustainable" for a city of just 83,000.

Handing out free meals does not change the fundamental facts. These men were not shipwrecked, they did not come from a war zone. They walked and swam into Spanish territory in a coordinated surge that Morocco facilitated and Spain failed to stop.

Every ration distributed on that beach signals that the cost of illegal entry will be met with care packages rather than immediate removal. Carrots do not deter the next wave. Only the credible threat of being sent straight home does.

Spain's government can still choose enforcement over theatre. Until it does, the Red Cross will keep unpacking boxes for the people who invaded, and the residents of Ceuta will keep watching their city turned into a holding pen for those who refuse to leave.

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.

Tyler Durden Thu, 08/06/2026 - 02:00

The West Is Winning The Information War While Russia Prevails On The Battlefield

Authored by former CIA officer Larry Johnson

I stumbled across something pretty bizarre today when I queried one of the AI-search engines about Russia’s capture of territory in Ukraine in 2026. Here is what the Chinese KIMI claimed:

The evidence from multiple sources — including Ukrainian official claims, Western think tanks, and Ukrainian independent trackers — suggests that Ukraine recaptured substantially more territory than Russia captured during the first half of 2026, driven by the southern counteroffensive. However, the pace of Ukrainian gains has slowed since spring, and Russia has made small net gains in recent months (June–July). The overall net for the full year so far appears to still favor Ukraine, but the margin and the exact numbers depend heavily on whose methodology you use.

There you have it… Ukraine is winning the war on the ground according to AI. Let me emphasize that you will find this same propaganda on GROK or Claude. The Western propaganda effort is paying dividends on the information operation side of the house. Even the Chinese-coders who created KIMI are pushing Western propaganda.

via Al Jazeera

So let me give you the actual rundown for 2026. Russia started 2026 with Gerasimov’s report to Putin announcing the liberation of Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) — the Donetsk logistics hub under siege for nearly two years — and of Vovchansk in Kharkiv. Through November of 2025 the MoD had reported a steady run of captures, including Petrovskoye in the DPR and Tikhoye and Otradnoye in Dnepropetrovsk.

Moving into the spring of 2026, TASS reported that Russian forces liberated 63 settlements from March through May 2026 — 20 in March, 16 in April, and 27 in May, the strongest month. The regional breakdown was 21 in Kharkiv Region, 19 in the DPR, 14 in Sumy, six in Zaporozhye, and three in Dnepropetrovsk. The Sumy and Kharkiv gains are framed by Moscow as building a “security zone” along the Russian border.

By early summer (June), Gerasimov reported that Russian forces were continuing the liberation of “Donbass and Novorossiya,” advancing on all fronts. The 3rd Army was advancing toward Slavyansk and Kramatorsk — liberating Piskunovka, reaching the outskirts of Nikolayevka, and reported to be less than 5 km from the eastern edge of Kramatorsk, with the capture of Krasny Liman (Lyman) said to be due soon.

Battlegroup West advanced on a broad front; in the Kupyansk area, having repelled Ukrainian attempts to break through to western Kupyansk, with assault units pushing west toward Shevchenkovo. In the Dobropolye area north of Krasnoarmeysk, fighting in Dobropolye and Annovka, with Lenina (Ukrainian name Mirnoye) taken and Shevchenko, Krasnoyarskoye, and Svetloye reported as liberated.

In July TASS counted 32 settlements liberated, with 22 of them — over 68 percent — in Kharkiv Region and the DPR. By battlegroup: North took ten, Center eight, West six, East five, and South three, and the month’s most significant developments were the liberation of Konstantinovka in the DPR by Battlegroup East and the capture of Belitskoye by Battlegroup Center. Konstantinovka is one of the four Donetsk fortress belt cities.

At present the Russians are driving on the last major Ukrainian-held Donetsk agglomeration — the Konstantinovka–Druzhkovka–Kramatorsk–Slavyansk belt — alongside the Sumy/Kharkiv border zone and consolidation in Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk.

Along with the ground operations in eastern Ukraine, Russia has ended Ukraine's ability to conduct maritime and trade operations from Odessa and Nikolaev since July 22nd.

Zelensky’s decision to strike Russian shipping in the Azov Sea made for some good pr for a few days during the big “Ukraine Turning The Tide” campaign, and triggered the expected Russian response, which is magnitudes more damaging to Ukraine. Stupid beyond belief. https://t.co/SIUDo2LtP5

— Mark Ames (@MarkAmesExiled) August 5, 2026

Ukrainian farmers will not be able to export products via the Black Sea ports and western supplies, which once flowed freely through Odessa. Ukraine’s maritime lifeline is severed and will not be in operation until after the war with Ukraine is over.

Finally, there is the daily Russian missile and drone attacks on Kiev and other key Ukrainian logistics and military hubs. The destruction of factories and warehouses is effectively bleeding Ukraine dry. The West persists in painting the war in Ukraine as a crusade that sits on the threshold of victory, but the realities on the ground tell a dramatically different, grim story… Ukraine is losing.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 23:25

End Of Cheap Food? Five Forces Set To Drive Grocery Bills Even Higher

UBS analysts identified five long-term forces likely to keep global food inflation "structurally higher" above its pre-pandemic average of about 2.5%, crushing consumer hopes that price pressures will simply fade.

"While food inflation globally has fallen from the COVID peak, a new debate is emerging: is the c2.5% LT average obsolete?" London-based managing director and equity-research analyst Sreedhar Mahamkali asked in a note penned on Monday.

Mahamkali and his team outlined five long-term drivers of global food inflation:

1. Climate risk is global, although its intensity differs by geography and commodity. Academic research suggests climate change could add around 0.9 to 3.2 percentage points to annual global food inflation by 2035.

2. Weak farm profitability limits investment and supply responsiveness globally. The pressure is most visible where farms are small, fragmented or exposed to volatile inputs, although scale, subsidies and access to credit can provide greater protection in some markets.

3. Higher welfare standards are lifting costs in animal protein. UK and European poultry provide the clearest current evidence, but similar changes in stocking density, housing, biosecurity and traceability are emerging across several markets.

4. Labor costs are rising across the food chain. The effect is strongest in labour- intensive farming, processing, logistics, food service as well as the front-end retail, although productivity, automation and the availability of lower-cost labour produce meaningful regional differences.

5. Supply flexibility is constrained globally: some markets face limited land expansion and tighter standards, while others contend with underinvestment and climate vulnerability.

"We expect food-at- home to start regaining share from historical lows, suggesting higher spend in the Food Retail channel with potential tailwinds as we demonstrate with a UK case study. On the other hand, wallet share compression of the discretionary categories means food-away- from-home and non-food retail are more vulnerable," the analyst pointed out.

He expects food inflation to run above historical levels in the UK, Europe, Australia, Southeast Asia and China, while remaining broadly unchanged in the US and Latin America and declining in India:

The UK faces all five drivers, but a rational competitive landscape enables better pass- through, leaving it as the best-positioned retail market.

Europe too faces many of the pressures, but greater fragmentation dilutes pricing power. In the fragmented US, structural cost pressure is largely offset by competition, likely leaving inflation in line with history.

In Latam, Brazil is relatively insulated with moderate impacts from labour cost inflation, welfare standards and a better supply outlook aided by technology with the outlook the same as history.

By contrast, ASEAN sees a sticky underlying cost base and a potential El Niño in H2 suggesting sustained pressure. China is likely to see a gradual increase in food inflation as external cost pressures are effectively transmitted.

Higher operating costs persist in Australia with regulation/welfare standards leading to higher inflation with some costs likely absorbed by retailers. India is the exception, benefiting from policy intervention and productivity gains with lower inflation than in the past.

Visualizing: Food prices could keep rising faster than they did before Covid, remaining above the historical average of about 2.5% annual inflation. Several long-term pressures are making food permanently more expensive.

For the food inflation narrative to continue, the analysts outlined what they are tracking over the next six months:

Here are the winners and losers under different food inflation scenarios:

Five out of eight regions are likely to see higher inflation:

The era of cheap food may be ending. Food inflation could further ignite as other Wall Street desks warn about El Niño risk developing and Professional subscribers can read those notes here at our new Marketdesk.ai portal. 

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 23:00

US Lifts Sanctions On Iraqi Airline Blacklisted Over IRGC Ties

Via The Cradle

The US Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) lifted sanctions on Iraq's Fly Baghdad Airlines and two of its aircraft on Wednesday, clearing a carrier Washington had blacklisted in January 2024 over alleged support for Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force. 

The Baghdad-based carrier was delisted from the Specially Designated Nationals (SDNs) list under each of its three registered names, Fly Baghdad Airlines Company, Fly Baghdad, and Iraq Express.

@JetPhotos

Two Boeing 737 aircraft flown by the airline, carrying the tail numbers YI-BAF and YI-BAN, were removed from the list at the same time.

A US Treasury official, who spoke anonymously, told AFP that the airline had cleared the department's administrative reconsideration process.

"FBA (Fly Baghdad Airlines) has demonstrated major changes to their operations such that their listing is no longer warranted," the official said.

The same official said the delisting is "not indicative of any shift in US policy toward the Government of Iran, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force, any designated terrorist organization, or any person who supports or acts on behalf of any of these."

Not every restriction tied to the airline has been dropped. Basheer Abdulkadhim Alwan al-Shabbani, the Iraqi national identified as the company's owner when the sanctions were first imposed, remains blacklisted.

His entry was rewritten so that the designation now cites the IRGC Quds Force directly instead of Fly Baghdad.

Washington first designated the airline, its aircraft, and its owner in January 2024, alleging the company supported Iran’s Quds Force and allied groups in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon.

The delisting comes amid a broader US sanctions campaign that continues to target Iran’s IRGC-linked logistics and aviation networks. 

There is some reporting that Treasury removed Iran-related sanctions from its website. A Treasury official tells me, “This is not indicative of any shift in U.S. policy toward the Government of Iran, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps—Qods Force, any designated terrorist…

— Jacqui Heinrich (@JacquiHeinrich) August 5, 2026

Just last week, Washington sanctioned entities tied to Mahan Air, which it alleges helps move weapons, personnel and equipment for the IRGC Quds Force. 

The action also hit support firms in China, India and Russia that Treasury says served as the airline’s sales agents and logistics intermediaries.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 22:35

China Is Betting AI, Hypersonic Missiles And Quantum Technology Will Define The Next Era Of Warfare

As China races to modernize its armed forces, its strategy is increasingly centered on developing technologies that could offset America's traditional military advantages instead of matching the U.S. system for system, according to the South China Morning Post.

That philosophy dates back to Unrestricted Warfare, a book published in 1999 by former PLA strategist Qiao Liang. Rather than copying America's arsenal, Qiao argued China should focus on capabilities Washington lacks. Nearly three decades later, he says the concept still applies. Modern militaries, he said, are now "building weapons for the wars they expect to fight, rather than fighting wars with the weapons they possess."

With the People's Liberation Army approaching its 100th anniversary next year, Beijing is expected to unveil another round of modernization goals as it works toward Xi Jinping's objective of creating a "world class military" by 2049. Analysts say the focus has shifted beyond simply catching the United States. China wants to help define the next era of warfare through artificial intelligence, quantum technology, hypersonic missiles, laser weapons and autonomous systems.

That ambition is perhaps most visible in aviation. The public appearance of China's tailless sixth generation fighter prototypes has fueled speculation that Beijing could be setting the pace in next generation air combat. Military analyst Fu Qianshao called the development "a landmark event," arguing that China is no longer just following trends established by the United States and Russia.

SCMP writes that future battlefields, analysts say, will revolve around connected, intelligent systems rather than individual weapons. Piloted aircraft may direct fleets of drones, armored vehicles could become mobile command and sensing platforms, and combat operations will increasingly link forces across land, sea, air, space and cyberspace with artificial intelligence playing a growing role in decision making.

China is investing heavily across that spectrum. The PLA has accelerated work on advanced aircraft carrier technology, AI powered drone swarms, underwater autonomous vehicles, electronic warfare and high performance computing. Much of that development is supported through Beijing's military civilian fusion strategy, which combines military research with universities and private technology companies.

Among the most closely watched programs are hypersonic weapons, quantum communications and artificial intelligence. China is widely regarded as a leader in hypersonic missile development and has spent years building quantum communication networks that could strengthen secure military communications. AI is already being tested for intelligence analysis, battlefield planning and autonomous drone operations.

Chinese planners have also closely studied the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, where drones have transformed modern combat. That has accelerated work on laser and microwave based air defense systems designed to defeat large drone swarms before they can reach their targets.

Even so, analysts caution that emerging technologies are unlikely to replace traditional military power on their own. Instead, they are expected to strengthen existing forces by making conventional ships, aircraft, missiles and ground units faster, more connected and more effective while introducing new opportunities and new risks.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 22:10

Former Haitian Police Officer And Naturalized US Citizen Pleads Guilty To Gun Running

Authored by Michael Clements via The Epoch Times,

A naturalized U.S. citizen and former Haitian National Police officer pleaded guilty to smuggling at least 140 firearms to Haiti.

Soldiers patrol amid the sound of gunshots heard in the distance in Port-au-Prince, Haiti, on Oct. 17, 2024. Odelyn Joseph/AP Photo

Jean Robert Casimir, 53, of Lauderhill, Florida, pleaded guilty in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia to conspiracy, smuggling, and violation of the Export Control Reform Act on Tuesday, Aug. 4.

According to court records, Casimir admitted to engaging in an extensive firearms trafficking operation since 2020.

He was arrested on Dec. 16, 2024, in Lauderhill and indicted on Jan. 23, 2025. His sentencing is set for Dec. 4.

Casimir told the court that from August 2020 through December 2024, he illegally exported guns from the United States to Haiti without the required license from the Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security.

He told the court he purchased the guns for his security business, which hires off-duty Haitian National Police officers to provide armed security for people visiting the island.

According to an arrest warrant affidavit, Homeland Security investigators saw photographs of firearms used by Haitian gangs in which serial numbers were clearly visible. The affidavit stated that the guns were traced back to legal purchases Casimir made at a Florida gun store in 2020.

Casimir denied selling guns to gang members. He said the guns were stolen from one of his employees during a robbery.

To smuggle the firearms, Casimir and his co-conspirators disassembled the guns, encased them in a foam insulating material and sealed them in industrial air compressors they had cut open and welded back together. They shipped the air compressors to Haiti from Miami.

The investigation was a combined effort by the FBI Miami Field Office, Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) Washington, D.C., and HSI Miami with assistance from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives and U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

The case is being prosecuted by U.S. Attorneys from the District of Columbia and the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) National Security Division, with assistance from the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of Florida.

According to a DOJ press release, the case is part of a Homeland Security Task Force (HSTF) initiative to eliminate criminal cartels, foreign gangs, transnational criminal organizations, and human smuggling and trafficking rings operating in the United States and abroad.

"Through historic interagency collaboration, the HSTF directs the full might of U.S. law enforcement towards identifying, investigating, and prosecuting the full spectrum of crimes committed by these organizations," the press release states.

According to data released by the United Nations Human Rights Office, there are an estimated 270,000 to 500,000 illegal weapons in circulation in Haiti, even though country does not manufacture guns or ammunition.

Haiti has been overrun by armed gangs and vigilante groups for more than a decade.

Political corruption and natural disasters have destabilized the country. As the government struggled to deal with the crises, powerful gangs took control of various areas, including the capital, Port au Prince.

Armed off-duty police officers take cover during an exchange of gunfire with army soldiers as they protest over police pay and working conditions in Port-au-Prince, Haiti, on Feb. 23, 2020. Dieu Nalio Chery/Ap Photo Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 21:45

Louisiana Has The Highest Car Ownership Burden In America

For many Americans, owning a car is a necessity, but the financial burden varies dramatically by state. In the least affordable places, annual vehicle expenses consume nearly one-quarter of the typical household’s income.

This map, via Visual Capitalist's Dorothy Neufeld, ranks every state by annual car ownership costs as a share of median household income, based on analysis from LendingTree of active auto loan holders. The estimates include financing, insurance, fuel, and maintenance.

The States Where Car Ownership Costs the Most

The table below ranks every state by annual car ownership costs as a share of median household income.

State Total Costs Median Household Income % of Household Income Louisiana $14,894 $64,199 23.2% Mississippi $13,378 $62,242 21.5% New Mexico $14,115 $71,388 19.8% Arkansas $12,798 $65,378 19.6% Alabama $13,164 $70,171 18.8% West Virginia $11,951 $64,001 18.7% Kentucky $12,628 $67,925 18.6% Oklahoma $12,722 $69,633 18.3% Florida $14,546 $81,830 17.8% Missouri $13,235 $75,360 17.6% Arizona $14,860 $85,779 17.3% Wyoming $13,533 $79,511 17.0% Texas $14,139 $83,921 16.8% Nevada $14,341 $85,408 16.8% Montana $13,245 $79,309 16.7% Georgia $13,733 $84,205 16.3% Tennessee $12,350 $75,790 16.3% Kansas $12,941 $79,492 16.3% Indiana $12,269 $75,750 16.2% South Carolina $12,233 $76,161 16.1% Michigan $12,208 $76,202 16.0% North Dakota $12,766 $81,973 15.6% Ohio $11,574 $76,016 15.2% Iowa $11,992 $79,478 15.1% North Carolina $11,725 $77,854 15.1% Nebraska $12,133 $80,399 15.1% South Dakota $12,092 $80,931 14.9% Wisconsin $11,947 $81,570 14.6% New York $13,183 $90,341 14.6% Idaho $12,340 $85,442 14.4% Pennsylvania $11,735 $81,630 14.4% Illinois $12,549 $87,594 14.3% Maine $11,231 $80,469 14.0% Oregon $12,528 $89,709 14.0% Delaware $12,680 $92,145 13.8% Rhode Island $12,042 $87,903 13.7% Colorado $13,876 $102,229 13.6% California $14,325 $105,425 13.6% Minnesota $12,304 $91,706 13.4% Vermont $11,542 $87,088 13.3% Alaska $13,051 $100,705 13.0% Washington $13,558 $104,625 13.0% Utah $13,023 $101,750 12.8% Virginia $12,214 $96,941 12.6% New Jersey $13,708 $109,788 12.5% Connecticut $12,630 $101,109 12.5% Hawaii $13,193 $106,052 12.4% Maryland $13,314 $108,326 12.3% District of Columbia $13,205 $115,486 11.4% New Hampshire $11,418 $105,038 10.9% Massachusetts $11,745 $110,350 10.6% 🇺🇸 U.S. Average $12,841 $85,759 15.0%

Data is for active auto loan holders. Cost and income figures were adjusted to 2026 dollars.

Louisiana is the nation’s least affordable state for car ownership, with the typical household spending 23.2% of its income, or $14,894 annually, on vehicle expenses. By comparison, Massachusetts households devote just 10.6% of their income to car ownership.

Mississippi, New Mexico, Arkansas, and Alabama round out the top five, with households in each spending roughly one-fifth of their income on car ownership.

Why Car Ownership Is Less Affordable Across the South

The South dominates the least affordable rankings because many states combine relatively modest household incomes with high ownership costs.

Insurance is one major factor. Louisiana and Florida, for example, consistently rank among the country’s most expensive states for auto insurance due to severe weather, litigation costs, and high accident claims.

Drivers in many Southern states also travel more miles each year, increasing spending on fuel, maintenance, and repairs.

America’s Most Affordable States for Car Ownership

Massachusetts has the nation’s lowest car ownership burden, with annual costs equal to 10.6% of median household income, or $11,745.

New Hampshire and Maryland also rank among the most affordable states, helping make the Northeast the country’s least financially burdensome region for car ownership. Higher incomes help keep costs manageable across much of the region, while extensive public transit may allow some households to drive less or own fewer vehicles.

These rankings show that car affordability depends on more than the cost of owning and operating a vehicle. Household income also plays a major role, meaning similar expenses can create very different financial burdens depending on where people live.

To learn more about this topic, check out this graphic on the cheapest car brands to own and maintain.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 21:20

Declassified Documents Show FBI Probed Whether Trump Fired Comey At Russia's Direction

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times,

Newly declassified documents show the FBI probed President Donald Trump's termination of the agency's director as part of an effort to substantiate allegations that Trump colluded with Russia.

Former FBI Director James Comey in Berlin, Germany, on June 19, 2018. Carsten Koall/Getty Images

The documents, declassified by a White House task force on Aug. 5, refer to Trump's firing of FBI Director James Comey on May 9, 2017.

In one of the documents, dated May 16, 2017, the FBI said it was opening an investigation "based on an articulable factual basis that reasonably indicates that President Donald J. Trump may be or has been, wittingly or unwittingly, involved in activities for or on behalf of the Government of the Russian Federation which may constitute violations of federal criminal law or threats to the national security of the United States."

The goal of the investigation "is to determine if President Trump is or was directed by, controlled by, and/or coordinated activities with, the Russian Federation in a manner constituting a threat to the national security of the United States and/or a violation of federal criminal statutes," the document states.

The investigation, codenamed Oxferd Comma, would also look into whether Trump and "others yet to be named" obstructed or conspired to obstruct any related FBI investigations, according to the document.

That included whether Trump's firing of Comey was linked to the FBI probing Russian efforts to influence the 2016 election, the document said.

Comey was fired after officials determined he mishandled a probe into then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's use of a personal server to send classified emails, including announcing without clearance from the attorney general that the case should be closed without prosecution, according to a memorandum from then-Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein to the attorney general that was later made public.

Trump said shortly after Comey's termination that he fired Comey due to his mishandling the probe of Clinton, who ran against Trump in the 2016 election.

The document opening the probe said that Trump's rationale for firing Comey "has changed over time."

While Trump initially in public attributed the decision to conclusions from Rosenstein and then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions, and the White House said in a statement that the firing had "nothing to do with Russia," Trump said in a television interview several days later that he was going to fire Comey regardless of the recommendation from Department of Justice officials because "this Russia thing with Trump and Russia is a made up story."

James Baker, the FBI's general counsel at the time, and William Priestap, the FBI's assistant director for counterintelligence at the time, signed off on the probe, and other top FBI officials, such as acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe, were aware of the investigation, according to the document and other papers.

The White House Government Transparency Task Force declassified and released the documents.

Trump created the task force in May to advise him on documents "that should be declassified and/or released to the public to further his administration's priorities of transparency and accountability," according to a July 13 statement from the task force.

John Solomon, chairman of the task force, said in a statement released by the White House that evidence when the investigation was opened already undercut suspicions that Trump was acting as a Russian asset, including testimony from FBI special agent William Barnett.

The White House declined to comment.

The FBI did not respond to a request for comment by publication time.

The probe into Trump's termination of Comey was closed on April 9, 2019, after special counsel Robert Mueller concluded that there was no evidence to support claims that Trump and his campaign colluded or coordinated with Russia.

"The Special Counsel provided the Attorney General with a confidential report explaining his prosecution and declination decisions," the document outlining the closing of the investigation reads.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 20:55

Fresh Panic As Pentagon Has Used 'Virtually All' Its Long-Range Precision Missiles On Iran

US forces "used up virtually all" of their precision, long-range missiles during the course of the Iran war, and during the earlier heavy US-Israeli campaign of Operation Epic Fury, Reuters reported Tuesday.

This has raised serious "concerns about the military's ​readiness for future conflicts," informed sources told the outlet. In particular it is the Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) and Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM) which are said to be running critically low.

US Army file image

"Washington has used virtually all of these weapons," two sources told Reuters, after several media reports and think tank studies had already sounded the alarm over dwindling missiles amid both the Iran war and in the years-long process of supplying Ukraine. Low Patriot defense missile supplies have also been a persisting issue in the headlines.

They are costly and time-consuming in terms of manufacturing replacements. For example a single ATACMS munition costs about $1 million.

One immediate consequence could be that if heavy bombardment of Iran starts up again, the US would have to conduct riskier piloted aerial bombings - instead relying on longer range precision strikes afforded by the land-based systems at safer distances.

And another, somewhat obvious consequence, is highlighted in the following: "But as ​the war drags on, the three people familiar with the matter expressed worry that the falling missile supplies could limit the U.S. ability to deter adversaries, including Russia and China."

The report added: "A fourth person ⁠familiar with the matter said that while Central Command — which oversees U.S. forces in the Middle East — has nearly used up the land-based missiles it had before the war began, it has been able to reload from U.S. military supplies elsewhere in the ​world."

President Trump has of late responded to these now widespread reports of badly depleted advanced munitions, explaining that "Our defense companies are, at this moment, making more munitions than they have ever made before, ​in addition to expanding their plants and equipment at record levels."

Additionally,  Secretary of War Pete Hegseth took to social media to refute the report, calling it false news.

“That banner is NOT TRUE, CNN. Shame on you,” the Pentagon chief said in a post on X. “We don’t hate the Fake News media enough.”

Hegseth was specifically referring to a CNN on-screen banner that read: “Sources: U.S. has used nearly 80% of key missile interceptors in Iran war, top commanders warn stockpiles dangerously low.”

However, the Reuters report has set off speculation that Trump's weekend backtracking on planned 'harder' Iran strikes could have been in part because the Pentagon has warned of waning supplies and capabilities regarding conventional way of doing long-range missile strikes.

We’re out of crucial defensive weapons systems, and now we’re out of crucial offensive weapons. Other than that, Sir, how’s the war going? https://t.co/qXNiSLHQho

— Mark Ames (@MarkAmesExiled) August 4, 2026

Critics of the decision to go to war in the first place have warned over this very scenario of exhausting Pentagon stockpiles. Those against this war of choice say that it's the opposite of America First - and that ultimately the war is about protecting Israel and not necessarily American security and interests.

The reality also is that in the opening days of Operation Epic Fury, the US seemed underprepared for the ferocity of the Iranian response. At least 13 American bases in the region were hit and damaged in just the opening weeks of the war, to the point that US forces across the region had to be moved back from front line Gulf areas, and energy sites across the region were pummeled and suffered billions of dollars in damage.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 20:30

China's Power Demand Hits Records As Heatwave Grips Key Regions

By Irina Slav of OilPrice.com

Electricity demand in much of China hit a record this week due to scorching summer temperatures, driving grid loads to all-time highs, the State Grid Corporation of China said today, as cited by Reuters.

On Monday and Tuesday, the company said, electricity loads reached a record in the country’s northern, northeastern, and eastern regions. No blackouts have been reported, however, as the grid operator moves in time to direct more baseload electricity where it is needed for air-conditioning.

According to forecasts from the Chinese state meteorological agency, temperatures across much of China will remain high, in some cases potentially reaching or even exceeding historical peaks, the Reuters report also noted.

In January this year, State Grid Corporation of China, the world’s largest utility enterprise covering 88% of China’s land area and serving over 1.1 billion people, said it planned to spend $574 billion (4 trillion Chinese yuan) on fixed-asset investments for the five years to 2030, as part of its 2026-2030 investment plan.

The sum is 40% higher than what the State Grid Corporation of China spent in the previous five-year investment period to 2025. The company will use the money to upgrade and expand the power transmission and distribution systems amid a surge in renewable energy capacity installations and a continued rise in electricity demand.

China is the world’s biggest builder of wind and solar, but it has also expanded its coal-powered generation capacity to ensure stable supply that can respond to demand changes in a timely fashion. Yet the country is also building out its battery storage capacity to be able to utilize more of its wind and solar electricity output. China plans to have its battery storage capacity more than double to 180 gigawatts by 2027 in a new plan aimed at attracting $35.1 billion (250 billion yuan).

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 20:05

Federal Operation Takes More Than 800 Dangerous Truckers Off US Highways

Authored by Kimberly Hayek via The Epoch Times,

Federal authorities took more than 800 dangerous truckers off America's roads in a three-day enforcement action, officials revealed Tuesday. In the operation, they targeted unqualified foreign drivers and unsafe commercial vehicles.

A truck drives through the Port of Oakland in Oakland, Calif., on Nov. 14, 2025. California has revoke 17,000 commercial driver’s licenses improperly issued to foreign drivers, about 2.5 percent of all commercial licenses in the state. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

The most recent wave of Operation Highway Shield was conducted from July 28 to July 30. Inspectors from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement's Homeland Security Investigations collaborated with the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration and state highway patrols. They conducted roadside checks on illegal, unvetted drivers and vehicles that failed basic safety standards.

Officers detained 51 illegal immigrants over the course of three days, including 21 drivers holding non-domiciled commercial driver licenses issued by California and New York. Authorities placed 766 unsafe drivers and vehicles out of service. They arrested 86 operators for dangerous behavior, such as road rage and domestic violence. Officials issued 36 violations for failing English language proficiency tests, and nearly $1 million in stolen cargo was recovered.

Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Markwayne Mullin and Department of Transportation (DOT) Secretary Sean Duffy announced the early results. Mullin underscored the risks unqualified drivers pose when they are behind the wheel of large trucks.

"When illegal aliens are behind the wheels of semi-trucks, they are putting American lives in danger," DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin said in an X post.

Duffy said the effort was part of President Trump's directive to secure roads, eliminate fraud, and restore integrity to the trucking industry.

"Every life lost from an illegal trucker behind the wheel of a big rig is a completely preventable tragedy - and this administration will not stand for it," Duffy said.

"If you continue to illegally operate a big rig - your days on America's streets are numbered," the Secretary warned.

Last month, DHS and DOT announced a partnership in an effort to probe fraudulent and illegal practices at commercial driver license schools. Officials have said the schools issue credentials to unqualified individuals, including illegal immigrants, allowing them to drive semi-trucks on public highways.

Roadside inspections entail officers checking licenses, testing language proficiency required for reading road signs and understanding instructions, examining vehicle condition, and reviewing driver records. Failures in any of those areas can lead to immediate out-of-service orders. The targeted driver or vehicle can no longer be operated until deficiencies are fixed or the driver is removed from the road.

English language proficiency has become a key area of focus. Federal rules require commercial drivers to be capable of communicating sufficiently in English to understand highway signs, respond to law enforcement, and handle emergencies.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 19:15

Tit-For-Tat: China Hits Back At US With Tighter Drone Export Controls

Sino-US relations are showing renewed signs of deterioration ahead of President Xi Jinping's expected visit to the US in late September. Beijing is retaliating against a series of recent U.S. trade restrictions.

The Financial Times reports that the Commerce Ministry is set to review exports of drones, critical components, and related dual-use technologies on a "case-by-case basis." The report did not mention the exact details.

The ministry also barred Chinese companies from dealing with Applied DNA Sciences and five other U.S. entities accused of "supporting illegal U.S. sanctions concerning Xinjiang."

The ministry's announcements come as the Trump administration has added 43 Chinese companies to its forced-labor import blacklist and imposed tighter Federal Communications Commission restrictions on Chinese drones, routers, telecommunications equipment, and other high-tech devices.

Here's the reporting on US restrictions:

• "Safeguard Our Homeland": FCC Moves To Ban Foreign Military-Grade Drone Imports
• Trump Admin Set To Ban Chinese Robots In "Economic Security" Push
• Trump Admin Drafting Ban On Chinese Optical Transceivers To Protect Data Centers From Spying

The "measures seriously violate the important consensus reached by the two heads of state and severely damage China's legitimate rights and interests. China has no choice but to take necessary countermeasures in response," the ministry wrote in a statement.

Uncertainty surrounding Beijing's drone export controls should concern U.S. hobbyists and commercial operators. China remains the epicenter of the global drone industry and is home to major manufacturers, including DJI, Autel Robotics, and XAG, leaving US buyers exposed to potential disruptions in drones, components, and replacement parts.

Looking ahead, Xi is expected to arrive at the White House on September 24 for a meeting with President Trump.

"President Xi is coming over on September 24, and ‌we talked about it (artificial intelligence) when I was over in Beijing, and we'll be talking about it again," Trump recently said.

Polymarket odds have Xi's US visit at 93% odds.

//--> //--> Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes 93% · No 8%
View full market & trade on Polymarket

The only problem here is that shell companies and intermediaries can often find workarounds to corporate sanctions. That became clear earlier this year when banned Nvidia AI chips ended up in China.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 18:50

Argentina's Milei: Ending the Debt State By Holding Politicians Personally Accountable For Fiscal Excess

Submitted by Thomas Kolbe

Only contrast reveals one's own mistakes. Javier Milei is the antithesis of Germany's political class, and the comparison could hardly be starker.

While Germany continues to expand the state, Argentina is slashing subsidies and radically reducing the size of its public bureaucracy. While Berlin piles up enormous amounts of public debt, Buenos Aires is posting a primary budget surplus. Friedrich Merz believes in the healing powers of state intervention, whereas Milei is deregulating markets and paving the way for an investment boom.

Argentina has achieved an economic turnaround while Germany continues its economic decay. Argentina's economy is growing steadily, private-sector employment is expanding, and the poverty rate is falling rapidly.

At a time when Germany is doubling down on debt, the arms industry, and green state planning, Milei appears like a comet defying both political gravity and conventional doctrines of government.

The Argentine president's latest initiative is the so-called "Grillete Fiscal"—literally, the "Fiscal Shackles."

Behind the martial name lies what amounts to a fiscal revolution. Milei first unveiled the proposal in his characteristically entertaining style during a televised address to the Argentine people. The bill must still be approved by Congress, where his party, La Libertad Avanza, is expected to secure the support of allied parliamentary factions in both chambers.

Although Milei lacks a parliamentary majority of his own, his alliances have thus far proved remarkably resilient.

If enacted, the legislation would break with one of modern politics' unwritten rules: the assumption that governments can always buy votes with higher spending, higher taxes, and ever more debt. The business of burdening future generations and taxpayers with politically manufactured credit expansion would, at least for the time being, come to an end.

Milei's idea is straightforward: future Argentine governments should have their wings clipped before they are even able to take flight on another debt-financed spending spree.

The mechanism is equally straightforward. Should the federal budget remain in deficit for several consecutive months, Congress would be given a deadline to restore fiscal balance. Failure to do so would automatically trigger a U.S.-style government shutdown. Non-essential government activities would be suspended automatically—without further parliamentary debate or political horse-trading. The President, Vice President, cabinet ministers, state secretaries, and every member of both houses of Congress would receive not a single peso in salary until the budget is balanced once again.

Furthermore, all new spending would be frozen. No new contracts could be awarded, and no additional public employees could be hired. Even more striking, discretionary transfers from the federal government to Argentina's provinces would also be suspended.

At the same time, the law deliberately protects the state's core responsibilities. Pension payments, healthcare services, unemployment benefits, as well as the salaries of police officers, members of the armed forces, and correctional staff would remain fully exempt from these austerity measures.

For Germany's statists, such a proposal is almost unthinkable. Rather than engaging with Milei's ideas or his policies, they prefer to ignore him altogether. For Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Milei has become something of a red flag. On one occasion during a televised interview, Merz claimed that the Argentine president was ruining his country and trampling on its people.

A typical Merz response. The German chancellor views the world through a prism that distorts reality. He speaks like a genuine believer in the omnipotent state—a conviction that has never been shaken by a lifetime spent safely within the political establishment.

Then, every once in a while, someone breaks ranks within Germany's left-wing consensus and says out loud what many of them truly think about Milei. He is supposedly "authoritarian," they claim, and a threat to human rights. In April of this year, Germany's Left Party even introduced a parliamentary motion describing Milei as "ultra-neoliberal." Coming from one of Germany's most statist political parties, such a label should be taken as a compliment. It says far more about the intellectual limitations of its authors than about Milei himself.

What is both striking and disturbing is how closely the German chancellor's rhetoric has drifted toward the coarse vocabulary traditionally associated with the political left.

Yet even Javier Milei cannot truly satisfy Germany's libertarians. Their intellectual figurehead, Hans-Hermann Hoppe, the former University of Nevada, Las Vegas professor and a student of Murray Rothbard, complained only months into Milei's presidency that he had failed to deliver on his central campaign promise: abolishing the central bank.

The criticism exposes a fundamental weakness of many libertarians: they inhabit the theoretical world of textbook logic. Within that framework, it seems inconceivable that abolishing the central bank overnight could derail Milei's entire presidency. It requires little imagination to picture the alternative—a financial collapse followed by the fall of the government, precisely the kind of scenario that would jeopardize Milei's entire reform project.

But it is not Milei's job to please everyone. In the end, every successful political leader disappoints almost every constituency. He hands out no favors and makes no empty promises. His uncompromising austerity program is detoxifying the state, restoring market economics, dismantling subsidies—and turning into losers all those who had long lived off the public purse without productive contribution, sustained by political patronage rather than genuine economic necessity.

If Milei stays the course and Argentina continues to regain stability, he is likely to go down in the nation's history as a libertarian reformer who combined conviction with prudence. Germany's statists—from Friedrich Merz and Lars Klingbeil to Ursula von der Leyen—would do well to prepare themselves. They may ignore him, ridicule him, or insult him, but reality has a habit of quietly making its way into people's minds.

As Nietzsche wrote in Thus Spoke Zarathustra: "Thoughts that come on dove's feet guide the world." Sometimes, however, they arrive accompanied by the roar of a chainsaw.

* * * 

About the author Thomas Kolbe, a German graduate economist, has worked for over 25 years, he has worked as a journalist and media producer for clients from various industries and business associations. As a publicist, he focuses on economic processes and observes geopolitical events from the perspective of the capital markets. His publications follow a philosophy that focuses on the individual and their right to self-determination.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 18:25

Japan Looks To Palantir For Battlefield AI

Japan is preparing to introduce AI into the command-and-control systems of its Self-Defense Forces as part of a wider military modernization effort aimed at improving operational speed and interoperability with the United States, according to Nikkei. 

Under the proposal, multiple U.S.-developed AI platforms would support commanders by processing battlefield data, assisting with tactical decisions, and coordinating operations across missions such as missile defense, counterstrikes, and drone deployments. The initiative is expected to be incorporated into revisions of Japan's national security strategy later this year as the government reshapes its defense posture over the next five years.

Among the technologies under consideration are Palantir's Maven Smart System, which analyzes intelligence and recommends targets and tactics, and Anduril's Lattice AI, which fuses information from sensors into a single operational picture while enabling autonomous coordination of drones and other assets in contested environments.

Nikkei reports that Japan currently lacks AI-enabled command systems, but officials see the technology as essential for keeping pace with increasingly data-intensive and fast-moving military operations. As cooperation with U.S. forces deepens, particularly following the launch of the Joint Operations Command in 2025, narrowing the gap in decision-making speed has become a growing priority.

At the same time, Tokyo is seeking to avoid long-term dependence on foreign technology. One proposal would place a Japanese-developed AI layer above the U.S. systems to determine which model is best suited for a given task. Sakana AI's Fugu, designed to orchestrate multiple AI models, has emerged as a leading option for this role and already works with Japan's Defense Ministry.

The government also plans to host the supporting data infrastructure within Japan to better protect sensitive military information. Even so, officials acknowledge that maintaining compatibility with U.S. AI platforms will be critical, creating a balance between rapidly adopting proven foreign technology and preserving the flexibility to transition to domestic AI capabilities in the future.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 18:00

OpenAI, Anthropic Models Created Fake Profiles, Tried To Trick Humans During Cyber Tests

Authored by Naveen Athrappully via The Epoch Times,

Artificial Intelligence (AI) models from Anthropic and OpenAI carried out unsanctioned actions targeting multiple people and organizations during a cyber evaluation, according to the UK AI Security Institute (AISI).

Illustration of Anthropic on June 18, 2026. Riccardo Milani/Hans Lucas via AFP via Getty Images

AISI, which receives access to advanced AI models under voluntary agreements from major labs, put the agents through a fictional cybersecurity scenario to test capabilities.

The organization tested multiple AI models on two cyber challenges between July 25 and 28. In total, the challenges were run 122 times across several models, and in 19 cases, the AI models took "unsanctioned action on the live internet, including cases that targeted real people and organisations," AISI said in an Aug. 4 report.

Out of these, 17 were done by Anthropic's Mythos 5 model and two by OpenAI's GPT 5.6 Sol model.

"This is the first time AISI has seen deception of this severity that was targeted at a real person, unprompted, in the real world. It is uncertain to what extent the model recognised it was taking actions against real people," AISI stated in the report.

In the most serious incident, Mythos 5 tried to solve a cyber challenge by attacking GitHub, a cloud service that allows developers to store and manage code. The AI created a GitHub account and tried to get a malicious code approved by humans. Mythos 5 also created a second GitHub account, masquerading as another human user endorsing the malicious code. When a human reviewer caught the activity, the AI agent "falsely claimed to have made an honest mistake" and then repeatedly tried to reintroduce the malicious content by claiming the code was fixed.

Mythos 5 also sent multiple emails to two developers in an attempt to manipulate the recipients into running its malicious code.

According to AISI, the test runs of the various models did not result in any real-world harm. The organization said it was treating the AI actions as a "serious security incident" that requires further scrutiny.

AISI listed multiple factors that could have led to AI models acting in a concerning manner. The AIs were provided with internet access during the tests, which allowed them to carry out the unsanctioned actions.

AISI had also deliberately disabled the models' cyberclassifiers during tests. Cyberclassifiers are systems aimed at preventing misuse.

The AI models were also not explicitly told what they were prohibited from doing on the internet, AISI said, adding that clearer instructions may have prevented the unsanctioned actions.

In an Aug. 4 blog post, AISI said that since the behavior of AI models happened under specific conditions, it cannot say how likely such behavior will be in different contexts.

"What we can say is that the behaviour was possible, sustained, and new; that alone warrants attention," the organization said.

In an Aug. 4 post on X, Anthropic said that Mythos 5 and ChatGPT 5.6 Sol models attempted to complete their assignments in an environment where they were deliberately provided internet access and their normal safeguards were removed.

Due to the absence of specific restrictions on how the internet must be navigated and lack of safeguards, the models were tested under conditions that are "not representative of any of our production models," Anthropic said, adding that there was no evidence in these tests of an AI escaping from a secure environment.

According to the company, it was closely working with AISI to access more details on the incident while carrying out an internal investigation on the matter.

OpenAI said in an Aug. 4 statement that it appreciated AISI's partnership throughout the evaluation process, including the organization's work to identify, investigate, and share details about the activity of the GPT 5.6 Sol model in their tests.

"We look forward to continuing our collaboration together," the company said.

The Epoch Times reached out to Anthropic and OpenAI for comment but did not receive a response by publication time.

OpenAI was in the midst of another controversy last month after it admitted on July 28 that its models bypassed restrictions during an evaluation. In this case, the company was testing its models' capabilities in carrying out cyberattacks.

AI startup Hugging Face was impacted in the test. On July 16, the startup said it detected an intrusion into its data processing systems. It was only later that the startup learned that the intrusion was carried out by an OpenAI model.

HuggingFace then worked with OpenAI to contain the attack, the startup's CEO, Clement Delangue, said in a July 22 post on X, calling it "an attack unlike anything we've seen before."

"This is day one for cybersecurity in the age of agents & we're all learning that secrecy is not the answer & that all defenders (not just a few selected ones) everywhere need more powerful models without restrictions, especially open ones," Delangue said.

A robot hand reaches out to the letters AI (Artificial Intelligence) in an image taken at an undisclosed location on June 23, 2023. Dado Ruvic/Reuters Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 17:40

Jim Cramer Just Sold His Bitcoin And Bulls Couldn't Be Happier

Looks like $100,000 bitcoin may be on deck, because Cramer is selling.

The ultimate inverse indicator Jim Cramer says he is selling all of his bitcoin, warning that rapid advances in quantum computing could threaten the cryptocurrency’s security within the next three to four years, according to Cointelegraph and Coindesk.

The CNBC host made the decision after interviewing IBM CEO Arvind Krishna, who urged investors to be "paranoid" about the potential impact of quantum computers on modern cryptography. Cramer said the conversation convinced him it was time to exit his bitcoin position.

Crypto traders, however, largely shrugged off the warning. Instead, many celebrated the announcement, reviving the long-running "inverse Cramer" meme, which jokingly treats his bearish calls as bullish signals. "If Cramer is selling, it's time to start buying," one trader wrote on X.

Bitcoin barely reacted, continuing to trade around $64,000 despite Cramer's comments, a recent Coldcard security incident, and signs that large bitcoin holders have begun moving or selling coins as overall crypto trading volumes decline.

The quantum computing debate itself remains unsettled. Some analysts believe bitcoin may need to transition to quantum-resistant cryptography within the next several years, while others argue practical quantum computers capable of breaking Bitcoin's encryption are still decades away. Even if such a breakthrough occurs, experts note it would threaten far more than cryptocurrencies, potentially disrupting banks, governments, and nearly every digital system that relies on modern encryption.

Cramer's latest warning also comes with plenty of historical baggage. The television personality has become famous for making high-profile market calls that later proved spectacularly wrong, from recommending Silicon Valley Bank shortly before its collapse to repeatedly changing his stance on bitcoin over the years.

That track record has turned "inverse Cramer" into one of Wall Street's favorite running jokes, with many investors instinctively betting against his latest prediction rather than following it.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 17:20

DHS Confirms Over 3 Million Total Deportations, Highlights Arrests Of Five More "Worst Of The Worst" Criminal Illegals

Authored by Debra Heine via American Greatness,

US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) on Monday arrested five more “worst of the worst” criminal illegal aliens convicted for heinous crimes, including voluntary manslaughter, criminal indecent exposure, aggravated assault, and fentanyl trafficking.

According to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), more than three million illegal aliens have left the United States due to the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown: 2.2 million self-deportations, and over 985,000 deported by DHS.

Each of the five violent criminals highlighted by DHS Tuesday were arrested in deep blue sanctuary cities where anti-ICE agitators continue to harass immigration officers.

• Fernando Ruiz-Maldonado, a criminal illegal alien from Mexico, convicted for voluntary manslaughter in Los Angeles, California.

• Sergio Loya-Lozano, a criminal illegal alien from Mexico, convicted for criminal indecent exposure, hit-and-run, and TWO counts of driving under the influence in San Jose, California.

• Olman Josue Pineda-Jimenez, a criminal illegal alien from Honduras, convicted for aggravated assault and harassing communications in Charlotte, North Carolina.

• Heriberto Hernandez-Sosa, a criminal illegal alien from the Dominican Republic, convicted for fentanyl trafficking in Worcester, Massachusetts.

• Jose Manuel Pertuz-Pena, a criminal illegal alien from Venezuela, convicted for aggravated unlawful use of a weapon in Cook County, Illinois.

Immigration agents continue to carry out their law enforcement duties in blue sanctuary enclaves despite the left’s relentless coordinated campaigns of violence against them.

According to DHS, immigration officers have experienced a 1,300+ percent increase in assaults against them, a 3,300 percent increase in vehicular attacks, and an 8,000 percent increase in death threats.

“Every single day, we are REMOVING criminals from American communities. Just yesterday, ICE arrested murderers, sexual predators, violent assailants, drug traffickers, and other dangerous criminal illegal aliens,” said DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin.

“Under the Trump Administration, the Department of Homeland Security is enforcing the law, deporting criminal illegal aliens, and defending the homeland. It’s no wonder crime rates have reached historic lows.”

DHS has listed over 40,000 illegal alien criminals on their Worst of the Worst (WOW) website which tracks ICE arrests of murderers, rapists, pedophiles, violent gangbangers and arsonists.

A DHS spokesperson told American Greatness Tuesday that over 985,000 illegal aliens have been deported since President Trump took office. An additional 2.2 million have self-deported.

“In President Trump’s first year back in office, more than 3 million illegal aliens have left the U.S. because of the Trump administration’s crackdown on illegal immigration including an estimated 2.2 million self-deportations,” the spokesman said via email.

“As of July 12, we have now deported over 985,000 illegal aliens and arrested over 1 million illegal aliens.”

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 17:00

Sandisk Tumbles After Revenue, Earnings Forecasts Miss Estimates

Sandisk was one of the largest public holdings of the hedge fund of 24-year-old former wunderkind, Leopold Aschenbrenner, and its July collapse from $2300 to $1000 was chief the main reasons why the former OpenAI employee had to liquidate his extremely overlevered hedge fund and sell all positions at a 10% discount to Citadel to meet a volley of endless margin calls.

Well, if he has some dry powder left he just may be able to repurchase some or all of his portfolio from Ken Griffen following the plunge of Sandisk after hours (we jest, of course), not because earnings were weak - they beat solidly - but because the company's revenue guidance was very disappointing... and for a stock like SNDK which is priced to perfection beyond 2030 on the assumption that nobody else can produce the biggest commodity product in electronics - memory chips - the guidance was rather dismal. 

Here is what SNDK reported for fiscal Q4:

• EPS $39.25 vs Est. $34.37
• Revenue $8.97BN vs Est. $8.64BN
  • Data Center Revenue $3.0B vs Est. $2.6B
• Operating Income $7.0B vs Est. $6.4B
  • Adjusted gross margin 84.6%, estimate 81.5%
• Free cash flow $7.08 billion

And while historical were fine, it was the company's Q1 guidance that sent its stock tumbling after hours: 

• Sees revenue $10.30 billion to $10.80 billion, far below the median estimate of $11.16 billion 
• Sees adjusted EPS $44.00 to $46.00, a midline also below the estimate $45.58

Commenting on the results, SNDK said that "as the cloud and other data-intensive workloads continue to expand, we remain confident in the long-term growth trajectory of our business, further margin expansion, and strong free cash flow generation."

Perhaps, although one look at prevailing NAND prices indicates that the peak is now well in the rearview mirror...

... and the market agrees with the stock, which surged about 40% in the past few days since the Citadel takeover of the Situational Awareness hedge fund, sliding and back to about half of its all time high hit in early June.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 16:45

They Really Don't Care

Authored by Todd Hayen via Off-Guardian.org,

This might not apply to all sheep-types, but many of the ones I have encountered simply do not care. This could be the reason we can’t seem to get through to them with the facts we are constantly shoving down their throats. Of course, the ones I’ve talked to may just be saying they don’t care to shut me up, but I really don’t think so. They seem pretty sincere.

How could they not care? Now, that is the $64,000 question. People, in general, do not care about things they do not see directly affecting them. They should, but they don’t. People these days, at least, don’t seem very skilled at discerning things that will—if not cared about—eventually bite them in the ass. I think people used to be better at determining such things.

They used to see war in a neighbouring country, for example, and say, “Hmmm, if we don’t do something about that, those bloodthirsty marauders may be over here next.” People who thought that way—speculating about a potential ass-bite—actually disappeared a long time ago, if they ever existed at all.

Still, my point stands: if it doesn’t directly affect them in the present moment, they don’t care.

Sorry, I think that is weird.

And, of course, people seem very inconsistent about this.

Some things they do care about, and usually those things are not as important as the things they should care about.

Take immigration control and enforcement, for example. Most people leaning to the left seem to care very much about the treatment ICE gives to people suspected (or legally determined) to be in the US illegally. They worry about their rights, their families, and the way they are arrested and deported. Yes, some of these worries are legitimate.

Everyone should be treated fairly and respectfully by law enforcement officials, and if they are not, it is right to complain about it through the proper channels. But none of these people seem the least bit concerned about how millions of illegal—and often criminal—people will degrade the way of life for everyone already living here.

I often ask, “So, do you want open borders then, and as a result, never have laws about enforcing the rules regarding immigration?” They will invariably say, “Oh no, I do believe we should control our borders!” Go figure.

The same story goes for free speech. People may seem to care about hate speech and speech that does not fit their worldview, such as Charlie Kirk’s speaking about the negatives regarding transgenderism or abortion. But if you ask them, “So, you don’t believe in free speech then? You think the First Amendment of the US Constitution is idealistic hooey?” They will invariably say, “No, of course I believe in free speech!” But they don’t. Go figure.

They can’t see far enough ahead to recognize the consequences of cherry-picking speech—eliminating what they think is offensive and keeping only the “important stuff.” Unfortunately, you can’t do that, and up until recently people knew that. There is a consequence for freedom, and sometimes it isn’t pretty.

I think a lot of the time this “I don’t care” attitude stems from the fact that people don’t seem to care much about principles. Of course, that does depend on the “principle.” Using the immigration example again to illustrate this point: those against deporting illegal aliens seem to care about the principle of “kindness” and “loving your neighbour” and “no one should be hurt, for pretty much any reason.”

Yet they contradict this attitude in dozens of ways: expecting that people be put into prison for not calling someone by their chosen pronoun, or arresting someone giving a speech about the atrocities being committed in Gaza—they see these examples as hate speech. In these cases, it is fine to be arrested. But sneaking into the US illegally, or doing so and lying about your criminal record? That’s all okay.

I feel the shrew-types are (see my Substack for a definition of “shrew”) very aware of principles. The destruction of free speech and even the obliteration of privacy in the US is not necessarily affecting people directly (except during Covid, when it certainly did, with persecution toward the unvaccinated and the loss of jobs and livelihoods). It is a “principle thing” for a lot of us. It is the wanton destruction of the very fundamentals our country (the US) was founded on.

Not only our constitutional rights, but the inalienable rights our Creator granted us. The writing on the wall exclaiming a future none of us will be comfortable in is clear and present. We hear the train a-comin’, rolling ‘round the bend…And it doesn’t look good.

So maybe shrews also don’t freak out over injustices until we feel them, but maybe we also see what’s on the horizon more logically and pragmatically than the sheep-types do. But that too is arguable. The sheepies certainly have no problem losing their cookies over Trump, even though there is little he is doing that directly affects them in a bad way (until recently, at least).

They too claim to be looking at future calamity to justify their hate. Yet Canadians adore Carney, and can’t seem to see what his antics are bringing onto Canada: soaring inflation and grocery prices, ballooning deficits and national debt (now larger than the economy), higher taxes, and escalating trade tensions with the US through tariff retaliation and protectionist policies that critics argue risk recession and long-term economic decline. Or, probably the most devastating, getting into bed with China and the Chinese Communist Party (“It’s not Communism,” they love to bellow, “It’s socialism.” Ha ha.)

We see these inconsistencies in a variety of ways. Obama’s approach to drone warfare was entirely ignored, yet anything Trump did that was similar (before the Iran catastrophe) was considered criminal.

But do they really care? Or are they just oddly selective about what they care about?

Maybe it is more the latter we are seeing. Maybe they do care, but about strangely inappropriate things. And then not care about things that are very appropriate to care about. Got me. All I can say for certain is that it is weird. Very weird. And I do care about that.

Tyler Durden Wed, 08/05/2026 - 16:20